Just like we all expected, the SEC West stunk this year while the SEC East can send five teams to the NCAA Tournament.
Florida pulled away from the SEC pack late in the season, as the team that lacked leadership and point guard play consistently won close game after close game. The Gators barely edged out Alabama for the outright SEC title. The Crimson Tide finished 12-4 in the SEC, but thanks to an absolutely atrocious performance in the non-conference portion of their schedule, 'Bama still has some work to do is they are going to go dancing.
After Florida, its tough to really decipher who is the second best team. Common sense says Kentucky, but the Wildcats needed to beat Tennessee on the road in the regular season's final game just to avoid a four-team tie at 9-7. Kentucky has been terrific at home, but inept on the road, and while the fact that a team with the talent that Kentucky has finished 10-6 in a weak SEC, they are not the most confounding SEC team.
Tennessee is. The Vols beat Villanova and Pitt early in the season, but then struggle to find any modicum of consistency the rest of the season. Georgia, like Alabama, needs to win a game or two to feel comfortable about their bubble standings. Vanderbilt is in the dance safely.
Where: Atlanta, GA
When: March 10th-13th
Final: March 13th, 1:00 pm, ESPN
Favorite: Florida Gators
It feels weird saying that Florida is the favorite to win anything, but this is a very good basketball team. Chandler Parsons, a versatile, 6'10" small forward, was named SEC player of the year as he really came on strong in conference play. Parsons creates matchup problems for opponents as he is able to put the ball on the floor, has three point range, but also is one of the best rebounders in the SEC. In the post, Vernon Macklin has become a fairly reliable back to the basket scorer, and with Erik Murphy and Alex Tyus joining him, the Gators have a solid trio. Erving Walker has come along as a point guard, improving his shot selection, but he is still more of a scoring guard than he is a natural point. The x-factor for this team is Kenny Boynton, who may be the streakiest shooter in the country. He has a knack for hitting big jumpers.
Sleeper: Tennessee Volunteers
After those two, Vanderbilt probably has the best chance to win this tournament. John Jenkins and Jeff Taylor could both end up being first round picks when they eventually go to the NBA, and Fetsus Ezeli has developed into a very good post player.
They fit the definition of a sleeper to a T. They are a talented group of players that have proven they can beat quality teams. They have just never been able to put it together, especially down the stretch of games. But, like I said, the Vols have talent. Scotty Hopson is as good of a scorer as there is in the country when he is aggressive attacking the rim. Tobias Harris has the skill set to be a lottery pick. The issue is at the point, where Melvin Goins is simply just not a very good offensive player.
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Thursday, March 10, 2011
Previewing the Madness: The SEC |
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Previewing the Madness: The ACC |
The unlikeliest conference finish of the season belongs to the ACC, where North Carolina, the team that everyone had left for dead heading into conference play, is champ.
Duke was the favorite coming into the season. Not the favorite to win just win the ACC, but to win everything. Hell, if was just three months ago that we were talking about the possibility of the Blue Devils going undefeated. Seems like a long time ago, doesn't it?
The rest of the ACC has been mired in mediocrity all season long, with teams like Florida State and Virginia Tech going from ranked in the top 25 to the bubble conversation. And while that mediocrity has made for, at times, some ugly basketball, it hasn't caused a like of excitement or intrigue heading into the league tournament.
With three teams -- Boston College, Virginia Tech, and Clemson -- sitting on the bubble's cut line and a fourth -- Maryland -- a run to the final away from a bid, there will be plenty decided over the next four days in Greensboro Coliseum.
Where: Greensboro, NC
When: March 10th-13th
Final: March 13th, 1:00 pm, ESPN
Favorite: Duke Blue Devils
I know, I know, I know. North Carolina just ran Duke off of the court in the regular season finale, locking up the regular season title in the process. And while North Carolina is currently the hottest team in the conference, if not the country, I am not yet ready to hand over the title of tournament favorite just yet. Duke is experienced. They've won titles before, including last year's national title. For my money, the national player of the year is on Duke's roster in the form of Nolan Smith. Seth Curry is turning into a dangerous complimentary scorer. And Kyle Singler? Well, if you remember, last year's Final Four most outstanding player had a relatively ho-hum regular season in 2009-2010 as well.
Sleeper: Virginia Tech Hokies
Ugh. I hate putting any kind of faith in Seth Greenberg's teams late in the season. But at some point, they have to come away with some big wins, right? Outside of Duke and UNC, the Hokies are probably the most talented team in the conference with Malcolm Delaney and Jeff Allen on their roster. They also knocked off Duke two weekends ago, which gives me some faith that this team can still wake up before the season is over.
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Previewing the Madness: The Big Ten |
The Big Ten is arguably the most disappointing conference in the country.
Its not because of anything Ohio State, Purdue, or Wisconsin did this season. The Buckeyes were thought to be a top five team coming into the season, and they may actually be better than most thought they could be. Purdue's terrific season is only marred by the thought of just how good this team would be if they still had Robbie Hummel. Wisconsin, as they do every season, proved why you should never, ever count them out, not when Bo Ryan and his efficient style are at the helm.
The disappointment lies with Michigan State, who went from a national title favorite in the preseason to the No. 7 seed in the Big Ten Tournament. It lies with Illinois, a Final Four sleeper that couldn't find any toughness inside or consistency out of Demetri McCamey. It lies with Minnesota, whose problems at the point cost this team the chance at a storybook season.
If anything, the theme of this tournament is redemption. There are four legitimate bubble teams in the league. Will anyone get in?
Where: Indianapolis, IN
When: March 10th-13th
Final: March 13th,
Favorite: Ohio State Buckeyes
The Buckeyes are the best team in the country. Its as simple as that. By now, you all know why. Jared Sullinger is the most dominant force in college basketball on the block, not just because of how he scores or rebounds, but because of how the Ohio State offense works through him. Aaron Craft has silenced all doubters with his terrific floor game and lock down defensive ability. Jon Diebler, David Lighter, and William Buford all play their role to perfection, and are all capable of exploding for 25 points when the moment calls. DeShaun Thomas and Dallas Lauderdale both understand and embrace their roles. Well coached. Talented. Tough defensively. Efficient offensively. To quote Jay-Z, what more can I say?
Sleeper: Penn State Nittany Lions
Wisconsin has a much easier draw, playing Penn State or Indiana in their first game. I love the Badgers this season. They are the epitome of efficiency, led by Jordan Taylor, who is having arguably the most underrated season in the history of college basketball. They matchup well with Purdue, but as the 93-65 drubbing that Ohio State put on the Badgers in the season finale illustrates, Wisconsin does not have the same ceiling as the Buckeyes.
I refuse to refer to Illinois or Michigan State as sleepers out of principal, but even if I didn't, the Nittany Lions would be my pick in this conference. For starters, they have Talor Battle, who may be the best player in the country you have never seen play. They also have Jeff Brooks, who has developed into a solid secondary scoring option this season. Most importantly, however, PSU has won big games. They beat Michigan State, Illinois, Wisconsin, and swept Minnesota.
Players to Watch: The Big Ten isn't short on talent, especially at the top of the league. Since those guys are household names by now, we are going to focus of the bottom of the league.
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Labels: Big Ten, Conference Tournament Previews, Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue
Wednesday, March 9, 2011
Previewing the Madness: The Pac-10 |
The Pac-10 is down this season, there really isn't a question about that.
But just because the league is down doesn't mean there hasn't been exciting, competitive basketball.
Washington was the runaway favorite in the preseason, but they really struggled down the stretch of the season, losing three of their last five games and falling to third in the conference standings. Arizona had control late in the season, but an ugly 0-2 road trip to the LA schools forced them into a situation where they had to sweep the final weekend to win the regular season title. UCLA was the surprise team. For all the flack they have gotten the last couple of years, the Bruins finished all alone in second place in the Pac-10 tournament.
Now, with teams like Washington State, USC, and Cal playing some of their best basketball of the season, don't be surprised when you see some upsets in this tournament. It may not have the number of tournament teams that the Big East has, but that should do nothing to diminish the entertainment value, to say nothing of the competition on the bubble for the teams sitting in 3rd-6th.
Where: Staples Center, LA
When: March 9th-12th
Final: March 12th, 6:00 pm, ESPN
Favorite: Arizona Wildcats
Right now, Arizona is the best team in this conference. Derrick Williams is not just the best player in the Pac-10, he is one of the best in the country and will likely be a first team all-american when things are all said and done. One of Arizona's bigger problems is that they haven't had a consistent second option step up alongside Williams. There is talent there -- Solomon Hill, Kevin Parrom, Jordin Mayes, Jesse Perry -- but that talent is inexperienced. Jamelle Horne and Kyle Fogg provide some of that leadership, but it gets to the biggest problem for the Wildcats -- point guard play. Momo Jones has had some big games this season, but he is inconsistent and is not enough of a playmaker.
Sleeper: Washington State Cougars
I like Wazzu this season. Klay Thompson is as good of a shooter and scorer as there is in the country. With Faisal Aden and Reggie Moore playing alongside him in the back court, the Cougars can match up with anyone in the conference. Inside, DeAngelo Casto and Marcus Capers are both above-average Pac-10 players. Better news? They play Washington in the first round, a team they swept this season. When the Cougar's shots are dropping, they are a tough team to beat.
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Previewing the Madness: The Big 12 |
The Big 12 was wild this season.
It was considered by many to be the best conference in the country in the preseason, but with the way that teams like Kansas State, Baylor, Missouri, and Texas played early in the season, that notion went out the window pretty quickly.
We may have been too quick to judge, however. Kansas has been the favorite just about the entire season, with the exception of the start of Big 12 play, when the Longhorns made their surge. Bolstered by a punishing defense, the Longhorns at one point held a two game lead on the Jayhawks late in February before a stretch of three losses in four games.
Kansas State was the next team to surge, rebounding from a 4-6 start in the league to win their last six games and finish the season tied for third in the conference. Will Baylor or Missouri be the team to make their run this week?
Another interesting storyline of this tournament is the bubble. Both Baylor and Colorado are sitting squarely where you don't want to be -- the cut line. Both will probably want to win two games to feel comfortable, but their first round matchups -- Colorado against Iowa State and Baylor against Oklahoma -- come against teams that knocked them off this season.
Where: Kansas City, MO
When: March 9th-12th
Final: March 12th, ESPN, 5:00 pm
Favorite: Kansas Jayhawks
The Jayhawks have to be considered the favorite to win this tournament, as they, along with Ohio State, are the two favorites to win the national title. Kansas is as efficient and balanced as anyone in the country. It starts with the Morris twins inside, who are both versatile scorers. They also rebound the ball and defend, combining with Thomas Robinson off the bench to provide one of the best front lines in the country. The Jayhawk back court is deep and talented, as well. Tyshawn Taylor is their best point guard, but they also have Josh Selby, who is capable of going for 20 on a given night despite his struggles down the stretch, and Elijah Johnson, who proved he is a starting point guard in the Big 12 when Taylor was suspended late in the season. Tyrel Reed and Brady Morningstar are the leaders and the knock down jumper shooters that keep the floor spread.
Sleeper: Missouri Tigers
Kansas State is the other contender. Their resurgence has been sparked by Jacob Pullen (more on him in a bit), but the Wildcats have also started to play like the team we expected them to be early in the season. They are playing aggressive, physical, and intense basketball once again, as their front court is overwhelming opponents while their back court are ball hawking defensively.
The Tigers, for my money, have the best chance at stealing this title. For starters, they will be playing in an arena that is actually in Missouri, a place they have played twice already this season. They also play the most unique system, one that is difficult to plan for on short notice. They are deep and they press for 40 minutes. When tired legs start to become a factor, the Tigers may be the best equipped to not only deal with it, but to take advantage of it in their opponents.
Players to Watch:
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Previewing the Madness: The Mountain West (Sponsored Post) |

The Mountain West probably won't be getting the four bids we all expected them to get coming into the season, but that doesn't mean that this wasn't one of the toughest leagues in the country.
The MWC boasts two of the top ten teams in the country. BYU and SDSU shared the regular season crown, but that was mostly a result of Brandon Davies getting suspended by the school due to Honor Code violations. The Cougars, led by The Jimmer, knocked off the Aztecs twice this season.
While those two are the face of the league, they are far from the only talent. UNLV is a tournament team once again, paced by an excellent defensive back court. Colorado State probably has the most dynamic front court in the conference with Andy Ogide and Travis Franklin. And then there is New Mexico, who has struggled this season with all of their new additions and a banged up Dairese Gary, but with the way Drew Gordon has been playing of late, this Lobo team is absolutely a threat to make a run in Vegas.
Where: Las Vegas
When: March 9th-12th
Final: March 12, 7:00 pm, Versus
Favorite: San Diego State
I know that they lost to BYU twice. I know that. But I am also a huge fan of the San Diego State front court. Kawhi Leonard is the perfect small forward for this roster -- a slasher and terrific rebounder that has added some perimeter skills this season -- anchoring a talented front line that also features Malcolm Thomas and Billy White. On the perimeter, DJ Gay has turned into very good possession point guard that doesn't turn the ball over and can really shoot it from the perimeter. With James Rahon and Chase Tapley providing some scoring balance, its no wonder this team has climbed into the top ten.
Sleeper: UNLV
Its tough to call the Runnin' Rebels a sleeper, but they have to be as they are no where near the level of BYU or SDSU. The issue with this team is on the offensive end of the floor. As many talented players as Lon Kruger has amassed, this team lacks a certain creativity with the ball. UNLV can defend and force turnovers with the best of them, but they get far too many tough looks on that end. Tre'Von Willis is the name you will know, but Anthony Marshall is the glue to this team in the way that David Lighty is Ohio States glue. Also keep in mind, this tournament will be played at the Thomas and Mack Center, UNLV's home floor.
Players to Watch:
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Labels: BYU, Conference Tournament, Conference Tournament Previews, San Diego State, UNLV
Tuesday, March 8, 2011
Butler's can earn an automatic bid tonight, while Oakland looks to finish a dominating season |
Horizon, 10:00 pm, ESPNU: #2 Butler @ #1 Milwaukee
As anyone that reads this website should already be fully aware of, Butler is the reigning national runner-up. But with the loss of Gordon Hayward and Willie Veasley, this team simply is not as good defensively as they were last season. That said, Shelvin Mack and Matt Howard provide Brad Stevens with the best inside-outside combination in the conference. The Bulldogs started league play 6-5, but they rallied late, winning their last seven games to earn the two seed before knocking off Cleveland State in the semifinals to advance and face Milwaukee in the Horizon title game.
Ironically, Milwaukee has beaten Butler twice this season. Since the Bulldogs still have a chance to earn an at-large bid with a loss, that would have to make them the only NCAA Tournament team that ever lost to Milwaukee three times in one season. The fact that the Panthers are playing for a trip to the NCAA Tournament is surprising in and of itself. They started the season 5-7 in non-conference play and then 4-5 in the Horizon, but they won their last nine games in conference play, which was enough to earn them the No. 1 overall seed. Will the Horizon once again be a two-bid league?
Summit, 9:00 pm, ESPN2: #1 Oakland vs. #2 Oral Roberts
Oakland is legit. Keith Benson is an NBA center. Reggie Hamilton is a terrific playmaker on the perimeter. Will Hudson and Larry Wright are both excellent role layers. Tennessee may have collapsed this season, but the fact that the Golden Grizzlies beat the Vols in Nashville was not a fluke. If Oakland makes the NCAA Tournament, they have a real shot at springing an upset in the first round.
They haven't made the tournament yet, however, as Oakland still has to beat a tough Oral Roberts team tonight. The Golden Eagles won their last eight games of the regular season, and have extended that streak to ten games in making the Summit final. Oral Roberts has a balanced attack (four players average double figures) and a star in Dominique Morrison.
Sun Belt, 7:00 pm:, ESPN2: #4W North Texas vs. #5W Arkansas-Little Rock
During the preseason, many believed that North Texas was one of the favorites to win the Sub Belt's auto bid, and while they had a bit of a disappointing season, the Mean Green are right there at the end of the season, with a chance to play their way into an auto-bid. Keep an eye on (the other) Tristan Thompson, an 18.1 ppg scorer. UALR finished the season under .500 in league play, but thanks to a big week from Solomon Bozeman (he's averaging 22.7 ppg in three Sun Belt tourney games), the Trojans rallied to advance to the title game.
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Previewing the Madness: The Big East |
There is only one thing you need to know about the 2011 Big East Tournament -- UConn and Villanova, who have both spent time in the top ten this season -- will be playing on the first day of the tournament.
Think about that for a second.
Two teams that were at one point considered two of the ten best teams in the country could not even secure a top eight seed in their conference. While UConn may have been overrated due to the ridiculous start Kemba Walker had and Villanova has had an epic collapse down the stretch of the season, the fact that those two will have to win five games in five days to take home the Big East Tournament title should tell you the kind of depth this league has.
The ironic part, however, is that while there is an unprecedented amount of "good" in the Big East, there isn't all that much "great". Pitt and Notre Dame certified themselves as the top two teams in the league, but they are the kind of powerhouse that you expect to see at the top of the Big East. This isn't the Pitt, UConn, and Louisville teams of 2009.
Where: Madison Square Garden
When: March 8th-12th
Final: March 12th, 9:00 pm, ESPN
Favorite: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Yup, I'm going with it. Let me explain, because I do have a convincing argument. The Irish have won 11 of their last 12 games. Ben Hansbrough, who should win the Big East player of the year award in the voters get it right, has been playing the best basketball of his career of late. Tim Abromaitis has refound his shooting stroke. This team is loaded with experienced basketball players that create all kinds of matchup problems with their versatility. Throw in the fact that this group owns Pitt of late -- they've won three in a row against the Panthers using their Burn Offense -- and the Irish are my pick to win it all.
Sleeper: St. John's Red Storm
There are a number of other teams capable of winning this thing. Syracuse is a tough team to beat at the Garden, and when Scoop Jardine and Kris Joseph are playing well, the Orange are a very good team. Louisville is the streakiest team in conference. They press and they shoot a lot of threes, and when the threes are dropping and they are forcing turnovers, the Cardinals are a tough team to beat.
Its weird calling a team that is ranked as high as the Johnnies are a sleeper, but they are the fifth seed in the Big East, so I'll allow it. The Red Storm struggled early in the season, but they have really come together down the stretch as Dwight Hardy has become one of the best scorers in the league. But the biggest reason St. John's has a shot at winning this thing? They are a much better team at home, and their home court just so happens to be Madison Square Garden.
Players to Watch:
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Friday, March 4, 2011
Previewing the Madness: The WCC Tournament |
As we have grown accustomed to these days, the WCC regular season title came down to Gonzaga and St. Mary's. In other news, grass is green, water is wet, and Virginia Tech is on the bubble.
Gonzaga was the favorite to win the league coming into the season, but the loss of Matt Bouldin hurt this team much more than anyone expected. The Zags struggled during their difficult non-conference schedule and took a couple of early losses in WCC play, including their first matchup, to fall behind the Gaels by two games. St. Mary's seemingly had tossed the season into cruise control, but they went down to San Diego and suffered one of the most excruciatingly inexplicable losses of the season. They followed that up with losses to Gonzaga and Utah State at home, and all of a sudden the Gaels had not only blown their WCC lead, they put themselves in serious jeopardy of losing a potential at-large bid.
It says up a terrific scenario should both teams make it to the finals of the WCC Tournament. Two nationally recognized teams with familiar names and faces playing a nationally televised rubber match which, potentially, could be for their conference's only bid to the NCAA Tournament. That, my friends, is March Madness at its best.
Where: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
When: March 4th-7th
Final: March 7th, 9:00 pm on ESPN2
(Bracket can be seen here.)
Favorites: Gonzaga Bulldogs
Whether or not you consider Gonzaga or St. Mary's the favorite for the WCC Tournament is a matter of opinion. I just happen to be of the opinion that Gonzaga is playing better right now. The Zags have won seven in a row, they erased a two-game deficit in the WCC standings in the span of a week, and just eight days ago they beat the Gaels in Moraga in overtime. Elias Harris and Sam Dower are both playing arguably their best basketball of the season, and -- as least Zags fans hope -- this team appears to be peaking right now.
Sleeper: There are a number of them in this league, but I think the best pick outside of the top two is San Francisco. The Dons lost their top two scorers this season, but with a more balanced attack led by Michael Williams, Rashad Green, and Perris Blackwell, USF finished third in the WCC at 10-4, one game off the lead. They also knocked off Gonzaga. This team is legit.
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Previewing the Madness: The CAA Tournament |
The CAA is one of the most interesting and entertaining mid-major conferences to follow. Every year, it seems like there are four or five teams in the mix for the conference title in February, and come Selection Sunday there are always teams sitting on the bubble, hoping to hear their name.
This year was no exception. George Mason may have pulled away late in the year, but that should take nothing away from the terrific seasons had by Old Dominion, VCU, and Hofstra. Its a long shot, but if VCU or Hofstra can spring an upset and make a run to the title game, there is a chance that three team from the conference can dance. Weak bubble or not, that's phenomenal for a league like the CAA.
Where: Richmond, VA
When: March 4rd-7th
Final: March 7th, 7:00 pm ESPN2
Favorites: George Mason Patriots
Don't be fooled by conference affiliation, George Mason is a very good basketball team. They are also a bit unique. Their point guard Andre Cornelius is the resident sharpshooter. Cam Long, the team's leading scorer, and Luke Hancock, a 6'5" small forward that leads the team in assists, are the playmakers on the wings. Mike Morrison is a big body around the rim while Ryan Pearson is a 14.8 ppg scoring threat as a face-up power forward. Obviously, the Patriots have quite a bit of versatility of the offensive end of the floor. More importantly, Mason hasn't lost since January 8th, a streak of 15 straight games. 
Sleeper: Drexel Dragons
I like this Drexel team. They are similar to Old Dominion in that they have a number of athletes, they defend hard, and they crash the glass. Its a typical Bruiser Flint team. They don't really have all that much shooting -- Chris Fouchs is shooting just 32.6% from three -- and when they struggle, it is because they struggle to score. Regardless, this is a tough team that will be a tough out .
Players to Watch:
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Thursday, March 3, 2011
Previewing the Madness: The Missouri Valley Tournament |
The Valley didn't end up being quite as good as we expected it to be this season. If the league does end up getting two bids to the NCAA Tournament -- which is a longshot -- it won't be the result of either Missouri State or Wichita State playing their way in, it will be the two mid-majors reaping the benefits of some of the bigger schools losing too many meaningful games down the stretch.
While the quality of the teams in the league may be down from what we are used too, that doesn't mean it is any less balanced or exciting. While early surges by Northern Iowa and Indiana State faded down the stretch, MSU and WSU remained, battling it out on the last day of the regular season for the conference's regular season title. The Bears won, sweeping the Shockers and winning the championship just two years after finishing in last place.
Where: Scottrade Center in St. Louis, MO
When: March 3rd-6th
Final: March 6th, 1:05 pm CBS
Favorites: Missouri State Bears
The Bears are an interesting team. They aren't deep, playing just a seven man rotation, but they are balanced and have weapons at every spot on the floor. MVC player of the year Kyle Weems leads the way. He's a versatile, 6'7" forward with three point range as well as the ability to score inside. He's joined up front by bruiser Will Creekmore and slashing small forward Jermaine Mallett. Adam Leonard is the sharp shooter on this team, while Nafis Ricks is the playmaker at the point. Cuonzo Martin has himself a balanced team with a lot of weapons.
Sleeper: Indiana State Sycamores
Its not really a sleeper when you are the third team in the league, but given that the MVC is all of ten team deep, we'll allow it. The Sycamores come into Arch Madness on a five game winning streak in MVC play after starting out the year 7-1 with wins over Northern Iowa, Creighton, and Missouri State. They stumbled a bit in the middle of the season, but with starting forward Carl Richard scheduled to return, ISU has a shot at this. No Larry Bird.
Players to Watch:
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Tuesday, March 1, 2011
Previewing the Madness: The Horizon League Tournament |
There may not have been a more difficult league to figure out this season than the Horizon. Butler was the overwhelming favorite coming in, Cleveland State has the best player in the conference, but the No. 1 seed in the league tournament ended up going to a team that finished 5-7 in non-conference play with more than a couple of ugly losses.
Unless Butler can somehow manage to sneak in, the Horizon is a one-bid league this year. And while the overall level of basketball being played in the conference is pretty close to where it was last year -- with the obvious caveat that Butler is now merely mortal -- the competitiveness has gone no where. The leagues where upsets and unpredictability abound are always the best tournaments to watch.
Where: Campus sites
When: March 1st-8th
Final: March 8th, 9:00 pm ESPN
Favorites: Butler Bulldogs
They may be the No. 2 seed, but it is almost impossible to pick against Butler here. Let's ignore the obvious -- the core of this team made it to the NCAA Tournament title game last year -- because, well, that's obvious. Butler has the two best players in the league not named Norris Cole in Shelvin Mack and Matt Howard. They've won seven straight games coming in, which is why they were able to earn one of the Horizon's double byes despite starting out league play 6-5. An interesting storyline that could develop here is that Butler, who has played their way onto the bubble with this winning streak, seems for a quarterfinal matchup with Cleveland State and Norris Cole. Could that game end up being for an NCAA Tournament at-large bid?
Sleeper: Wright State Raiders
The Raiders stumbled down the stretch, losing their last four league games to finish tied for fifth place with Detroit. But this is a quality basketball team. They beat Oakland earlier this year and smacked Hofstra by 26 points in BracketBusters. They have a solid one-two punch in Vaughn Duggins and N'Gai Evans as well.
Players to Watch:
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Thursday, March 11, 2010
Conference Tournament Preview: The ACC |
Where: Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
When: March 11th-14th
Final: 1:00 pm ESPN/Raycom
Favorite: Duke Blue Devils
Look, I love Maryland's team this season, but Duke is the best team in the conference. There are not many teams in the country, let alone the ACC, than can match the 1-2-3 punch the Devils have in Kyle Singler, Jon Scheyer, and Nolan Smith. Scheyer and Singler are seniors and are/have been all-americans. Nolan Smith will likely be on a number of all-american lists next season. Hate them or love them, you cannot deny those three can hoop.
Beyond that, Duke finally has some good big men. Brian Zoubek has come out of no where to be a force in the paint and on the offensive back boards. The Plumlees are as long and athletic as any Duke team in recent memory. Combine that with the watered down ACC and the tournament being played in North Carolina with UNC struggling, and Duke looks primed to make a run through the ACC.
And if they lose?: Maryland Terrapins
As I mentioned above, I love this Maryland team. Obviously, there's Greivis Vasquez, who has been phenomenal this season. But the Terps are much more than just a flamboyant Venezuelan. Eric Hayes has turned into quite the college player, the steadying force paired with Vasquez in the back court. Hayes is one of the smarter players in the ACC, and has become a knock down shooter. Sean Mosley and Landon Milbourne are undersized, but they are scrappy players that defend and play much bigger than their listed height. Cliff Tucker and Adrian Bowie are capable reserves that have saved the Terps on a couple occasions.
The key for Maryland is going to be the play of Jordan Williams and Dino Gregory, but I will get into that in a bit.
Don't count out/Sleepers: Well, everyone?
Part of the reason the ACC has been as fun to follow as it has this year is that the league is so wide open. Duke is the best, and Maryland isn't far behind, but after that there are five teams that are good enough to make a run to the ACC championship, but may also be in danger of playing their way out of the NCAA Tournament with a poor showing in Greensboro.
Clemson and Florida State are probably the two best in this group. Clemson had a hiccup midway through the conference season when Demontez Stitt injured his ankle, but with the PG healthy, the Tigers are back to full speed. At full speed, they are a tough team to matchup against. Clemson is so athletic and takes advantage of that in their press. When Booker is playing well and their threes are going down, this team can play with anyone.
What Florida State lacks in guard play, they make up for with sheer length, especially along their front line. The Seminoles are going to struggle to score at times as they don't really have any, well, scorers. But this is the best defensive team in the country according to Kenpom, using their length to make it difficult to get a clean look at the rim.
Wake Forest and Georgia Tech are the disappointing teams. Tech has collapsed, as Paul Hewitt teams usually do. There are few front lines better than what Georgia Tech has to offer, and Iman Shumpert is a talent at the point, but something is missing with this team. Be it leadership, be it decision making, and at times I'd even argue that its simply effort, but Georgia Tech just has not been the team many expected them to be. That said, if they can put it all together, who knows what could happen. Tech is in the worst spot in terms of an at-large bid and may want to win two games to feel safe.
Wake Forest is in a bit of the same boat. I can't figure this team out. Ishmael Smith is a player at the point. Al-Farouq Aminu is a lottery pick. They have shooters on the wing and size in the paint. They defend. But they lost four in a row before closing the ACC season with a win over Clemson. It will be interesting to see which Wake team shows up here. The Demon Deacons are probably safe, tournament wise, but may want to avoid a first round loss.
Virginia Tech is the x-factor. I don't think anyone has a feel for just how good this team is. Malcolm Delaney is a stud, Jeff Allen and Dorenzo Hudson are capable complimentary players, and they put together some nice wins the last month of the season. The problem is that the Hokies did a bunch of nothing before that, and lost to BC just three weeks ago. Tech should also avoid losing their first game if they want to feel safe next Sunday.
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Conference Tournament Preview: The Big 10 |
Where: Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
When: March 11th-14th
Final: 3:30 pm CBS
Favorite: Ohio State Buckeyes
With Evan Turner in the lineup, the Buckeyes have been flat out the best team in the Big Ten. They are 21-4 on the season and 14-2 in conference play with him. The thing that makes Evan Turner so special as a player is how much better the rest of the team is when he's on the floor. Outside of Turner, there really is not another guy on this team that can create their own shot. Dallas Lauderdale is a solid big man, but his post game consists of the ability to catch the ball, then dunk the ball. Jon Diebler is a shooter, through and through. William Buford is a bit more of a slasher than Diebler, but he is still at his best when catching-and-shooting. If you look at the numbers those three put up, all were much better with Turner in the lineup.
Evan Turner is the best player in the country because of how good he makes his teammates.
(photo credit: ESPN)
If there is a knock on the Buckeyes, it is their depth. It is not uncommon to see Ohio State's four wing players -- Diebler, Buford, Turner, and David Lighty -- all play 40 minutes in a game. Playing three straight games, I question how well their legs are going to hold up.
And if they lose?: Michigan State Spartans and Wisconsin Badgers
Michigan State is a tough team to peg this season. There is no question that they have the talent -- Kalin Lucas, Raymar Morgan, Durrell Summers, Draymond Green, Chris Allen -- and I'm never one to count Tom Izzo out of any tournament game, but when you watch the Spartans play, you're left with a feeling that this team is underperforming. It hasn't just been of late either. Even when Sparty was undefeated in the Big Ten and cruising to what seemed like an inevitable league title, they didn't have that air of superiority that you would expect from MSU. Having said all of that, this team still finished 24-7 and tied for the Big Ten regular season title. There is as much, if not more, talent on this team than any other team in the conference, but I doubt I'm the only one playing the wait-and-see game with MSU.
Wisconsin is the opposite of Michigan State. No one really expected much from the Badgers, but as we've been doing for years, we all underestimated Bo Ryan. This team is no different than any Wisconsin team you have seen over the last decade. They defend. They execute in the half court. They hustle. With Jon Leuer back healthy and talents like Trevon Hughes and Jordan Taylor in the back court, would anyone be surprised if the Badgers made a fun to the title?
Don't count out: Purdue Boilermakers
It seems like everyone has written off Purdue. True, Robbie Hummel is injured. True, he is a huge part of what the Boilermakers do. But there is still a lot of experience on this team, and Matt Painter is an excellent coach. I know that Purdue's offense, as well as their rebounding, will take huge hits with the loss of Hummel, but the bottom line is that this team is still going to defend. They are still going to run their stuff in the half court. They still have E'Twuan Moore, JaJuan Johnson, Keaton Grant, and Chris Kramer. It will be difficult, obviously, but don't write Purdue off just yet.
Sleeper: Northwestern Wildcats
I know, I know, Northwestern didn't live up to the expectations many had for them early in the season. But I like the Wildcats draw. They get a first round game against an Indiana team that looks like they have packed it in for the year. Their second round game is against the depleted Boilermakers. If they make it that far, the Wildcats will likely get either Michigan State, who they beat last season, or Minnesota, who they beat this year. Long shot, but I think there's a chance here.
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Conference Tournament Preview: The SEC |
Where: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
When: March 11th-14th
Final: 1:00 pm ABC
Favorite: Kentucky Wildcats
There shouldn't be any argument. John Wall. DeMarcus Cousins. Patrick Patterson. John Calipari. 29-2, 14-2. My work is done here. Moving on.
And if they lose?: Tennessee Volunteers
The Vols are an interesting team. For starters, there is the whole drugs-and-guns-in-a-rental-car story. Then there are the wins over two of the three No. 1 seeds in Kansas and Kentucky. But there are also the losses to Georgia and USC. This a tough team to figure out. What we do know is that Scotty Hopson is fast-developing into a certified star in the SEC. Wayne Chism has developed into one of the better low-post scorers in the SEC. Guys like Bobby Maze and JP Prince have stepped up their games in the absence of Tyler Smith, while the Tennessee bench -- full of walk-ons and freshman -- has been tremendous. It will be interesting to see which Tennessee team shows up.
The one difference with UT this season, however, has been that they are pressing a lot less and playing a more controlled game, especially on the defensive end of the floor. While they still run -- we aren't quite talking about Northern Iowa -- its just a different system than we have seen from the Vols the last few seasons.
Don't count out: Vanderbilt Commodores and Florida Gators
I like Vandy this season, and have all season long. This is an experienced group with a quality point guard in Jermaine Beal, good size and athleticism along their front line, a couple shooters around the perimeter, and one of the best coaches in the game in Kevin Stallings. They have quite a few good wins as well, picking up 12 RPI top 100 wins and sweeping Tennessee. The issue for Vanderbilt is consistency. Lets assume for a second that Illinois loses their opener to Wisconsin in the Big Ten tournament and that Cincinnati doesn't make a run through the Big East. Neither of those are outlandish occurrences, and if that is how it plays out, then Vandy will have lost all but two of their games to teams outside the NCAA Tournament, with Kentcuky's sweep being the exception.
Sleeper: Florida Gators
Yes, the Gators are a sleeper in this league. Florida is very much in danger of missing the NCAA tournament this season after losing their last three games of the regular season. They have lost 11 games on the year, and while they do have three solid wins -- Michigan State, Florida State, Tennessee -- they have just as many questionable losses. Florida's issue is that they are a flawed team. They don't have a true point guard, and their big men are not all that strong in the paint. Having said all that, Kenny Boynton and Erving Walker can both shoot the ball very well, Chandler Parsons (and to a point Vernon Macklin as well) is starting to come into his own as a player, and the Gators got a good draw in the tournament. They get Auburn and Mississippi State in the first two rounds before potentially taking on Vandy, a team they played tough twice this season.
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