If it seems like everyone and their brother has declared for the NBA Draft this year, well, that's because its true. Currently, 52 players with eligibility remaining have declared for the draft (here is a complete list), with Butler's Gordon Hayward the most recent to join the party.
The reason that so many players are declaring for the NBA Draft this season is the NBA's impending lockout. A lockout means no paychecks, and isn't the main point of declaring for the draft early to get paid?
If the NBA loses the entire 2011-12 season, that means that not only will the player's go without compensation for that season, it would also reset their "rookie clock". The 2012-13 would be the first year under their rookie contract, delaying their opportunity to negotiate their second contract -- when the real money is made -- for another season. That means that two full seasons worth of earning potential would be lost.
That's a lot of money.
A few guys have actually decided to return to school. The biggest names to do so are probably Scotty Hopson, Elias Harris, Kalin Lucas, and Jeff Taylor. Malcolm Lee, Corey Fisher, and William Buford are also returning.
So who is still left?
The way I see it, there are three big names we are still waiting to hear from -- Greg Monroe, Kyle Singler, and Solomon Alabi.
Greg Monroe said he was going back to Georgetown for his junior season immediately after the Hoyas were upset by Ohio in the first round of the NCAA tournament, but few are convinced. Draft Express's Jonathon Givony believes Monroe is currently 50-50, while Jeff Goodman echoes that same sentiment. If Monroe does return, the Hoyas will likely be the favorite to win the Big East, and one of the top five teams in the country.
Monroe's skill set makes him a lock for the lottery whenever he decides to go pro, meaning his only decision is whether or not he is willing to risk that payday.
Kyle Singler is a more interesting prospect. He is a borderline first rounder, projected by most to fall somewhere in the 20-35 range. But after playing great over the final six weeks of the season, culminating with a fantastic performance in the Final Four, Singler's stock may never be higher than it is right now. Singler has said that if he declares, he will likely be in for good, but is it the best decison? If he returns, Singler will be a preseason all-american for a Duke team that will likely be the favorite to win a second straight national title. He'll be able to play more at the combo-forward spot again with Seth Curry and Kyrie Irving coming in, which should help to boost his production. And with the number of players entering this year, Singler would be much more likely to be near the middle of the first round after next season.
But will that be enough to persuade him not to chase the money?
We may not have to wait long to hear from Alabi, as Givony tweeted earlier that he is hearing Alabi will declare, possibly this week. The Florida State big man is your typical 7-foot prospect. He has potential for days, as he is long and athletic but still quite raw. Alabi is closer to being a first round lock than Singler is -- the NBA does love size -- but he may be in more danger of losing his draft stock than the other two players. The younger you are, the more potential you have, and if Alabi comes back for his junior season and fails to be a dominating force, that could be a red flag for NBA teams.
Our guess?
All three go pro.
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