Showing posts with label ACC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ACC. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Conference Catch-ups: The ACC

Over the course of this week, we will spend a few minutes catching you up on how some of the best conferences in the country currently look. With conference play starting up, its time to get into the basketball spirit.

You can find the rest of the Conference Catch-ups here.


Favorite: North Carolina

Is it just me, or does it feel like no one is talking about North Carolina as a title contender anymore? That may be a bit of an overstatement, but since UNC lost to UNLV and Kentucky in the span of a week, it feels like they have become the forgotten juggernaut. Do they have flaws? Of course. Kendall Marshall can't guard a door frame. Harrison Barnes has a tendency to become nothing but a jump shooter. Neither John Henson nor Tyler Zeller have the kind of physical strength inside to bang with a guy like Jared Sullinger. But that almost feels nitpicky when you are talking about a team that has the amount of talent on their roster that the Tar Heels do.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2011

The Only Conference Preview You Need To Read: ACC

Over the next month and a half, we will be rolling out all of our 2011-2012 Season Preview posts. You can find a full schedule of all the preview posts here. If you want to browse through the rest of the conference previews, click here.

AWARDS

Player of the Year: Harrison Barnes, So., North Carolina

To say nothing of the talent level in the ACC, I'm not sure how anyone can possibly pick someone other than Barnes to be the Preseason Player of the Year in the ACC. We're talking about a kid that could have been the No. 1 player in the NBA Draft had he decided to enter the 2011 NBA Draft. Barnes started off his freshman season slowly, struggling to gain confidence and find a rhythm playing along side Larry Drew. But once Kendall Marshall was moved into the starting lineup -- and after Barnes hit a game-winning jumper to beat Miami in mid-January -- he found his confidence and he turned into the player that made some preseason first-team all-america ballots. In his last 18 games, Barnes averaged 19.7 ppg and 6.5 rpg while shooting 45.5% from the floor and 37.8% from three. He's a prototype for a small forward -- he's 6'8" with advanced skills and an understanding of how to play the game. There may not be a better player in the country.


And a close second goes to...: Mike Scott, Sr., Virginia

Frankly, this spot probably belongs to another player on UNC or Duke's Austin Rivers (see below), but since this is more than just a Tobacco Road preview, I decided to write about Scott here. Thanks to Virginia's struggles as a program and the fact that Scott missed the majority of last season with an ankle injury, its easy to forget just how good he was before he went down, averaging a double-double at 15.2 ppg and 10.1 rpg. Scott is a difficult matchup on the block at this level. He's capable of stepping out onto the perimeter and knocking down a jump shot, but he also has a variety of moves on the block. Perhaps the most difficult thing about guarding him is his strength. He's not overly explosive, but got a mature build and can finish through contact given how hard he goes to the basket. The Cavs are a sleeper in the league this season, and if Virginia does make a run towards that third-place finish, don't be surprised to see Scott's name pop-up on Player of the Year ballots.

Breakout Star: Erick Green, Jr., Virginia Tech

As much as hype as Ryan Kelly has gotten this offseason, I'm going with Green to be the breakout star of the ACC this year largely due to the fact that he performed well in the ACC last year. Not much was expected of Green last season, but after Dorenzo Hudson went down with a season-ending injury, Green was called upon to fill the back court role alongside Malcolm Delaney, and he did so admirably. Green finished the year averaging 11.7 ppg, but he played his best basketball late in the year, even notching a trio of 20 points games. Green is a more natural point guard, and without Delaney dominating the ball, expect this junior and his 2.3:1 assist-to-turnover ratio to have a very good year running the Hokies.


All-Conference First-Team:

- POY: Harrison Barnes, So., UNC
- G: Kendall Marshall, So., UNC
- G: Austin Rivers, Fr., Duke
- G: Malcolm Grant, Sr., Miami
- F: Mike Scott, Sr., Virginia
- C: Tyler Zeller, Sr., UNC

All-Conference Second-Team:

- G: Seth Curry, Jr., Duke
- G: Terrell Stoglin, So., Maryland
- G: Durand Scott, Sr., Miami
- F: Dorenzo Hudson, Sr., Virginia Tech
- F: John Henson, Jr., UNC

Newcomer of the Year: Austin Rivers, Duke

This pick was almost as easy as choosing Barnes to be the league's Player of the Year. In fact, I'd go as far as to say that Rivers, if he lives up to the hype he has coming this season, will be Barnes' biggest competition for the honor. Rivers can flat out score the basketball. He's a bit of a streaky shooter, but his hot streaks are the stuff of legend, as he's capable of putting on a show once he gets into a rhythm. Rivers has terrific range and a wide-variety of moves with the ball in his hands. He's not limited to being a jump-shooter, although he does need to improve his handle as a driver, especially going left. Rivers needs to make sure he focuses on limiting his turnovers and poor shots, but this kid has the kind of ability that will remind some Duke fans of Jay Williams.

All-Freshmen Team:

- G: Austin Rivers, Duke
- G: Nick Faust, Maryland
- F: Dorian Finney-Smith, Virginia Tech
- F: Julian Royal, Georgia Tech
- F: Ryan Anderson, Boston College

Five Summer storylines

- ACC expansion: The biggest news in all of college sports this summer was conference expansion, and for the ACC it was no different. With Texas and Oklahoma appearing to be on the verge of joining the Pac-12 and the Big 12 looking like it was on its death bed, most people believed that conference armageddon was upon us, and both the ACC and the Big East would be unable to survive the fire and brimstone that rained down. So the ACC made a preemptive strike, shocking the nation late on a Friday night in September with the news that they were adding both Pitt and Syracuse.

Conference armageddon didn't happen -- I guess Bruce Willis was able to set off the nuke in time, keeping Texas and Oklahoma from heading to the Pac-12 -- and the Big 12 actually managed to solidify itself as a league by stealing TCU away from the Big East. With the nation's premiere basketball league on the verge of collapsing, UConn made it abundantly clear to the ACC that they wanted in. As it turns out, the likelihood of that happening is fairly small. The ACC wanted the Huskies initially, but Boston College -- who is still holding a grudge from comments UConn made eight years ago when BC left the Big East for the ACC -- vetoed that move.

- Jim Larranaga dealt a bad hand: The Hurricanes certainly didn't have a boring offseason. After losing Frank Haith to Missouri and ignoring to overtures from Frank Martin, Miami made an impressive hire by luring Jim Larranaga away from George Mason. After what happened this summer, I wonder if Larranaga ended up regretting that decision. First, his star center Reggie Johnson went down with a torn meniscus, which is a huge blow to the Hurricanes. Johnson was arguably the best big man in the conference that plays outside of Tobacco Road. A double-double machine, he game The U a post option to balance out their guard play. He is scheduled to be back in January, but given the weight issues he has, can Miami really count on him for a stretch run?


That was just the start of it. In August, Yahoo published their massive report on Miami's booster Nevin Shapiro, and while the shrapnel hit all over the football program, the basketball team didn't get away scot-free. Shapiro alleged that he paid DeQuan Jones, who is currently on the Miami roster, $10,000 to ensure that Jones joins the Hurricanes. Eight days after that came out, Julian Gamble -- who likely would have started in Johnson's place -- tore his acl. That's not an ideal way to start your new job.

- Wake Forest's embarrassing summer: In the past 18 months, Wake Forest has lost five players from what was once a promising young core. Tony Woods was forced to transfer after assaulting his girlfriend. Ari Stewart transferred after their abomination of a 2010-2011 season. Melvin Tabb was kicked out of school because of an arrest involving breaking and entering and fraud. JT Terrell had to leave because he has a drinking problem. And Ty Walker is suspended for the first semester. Throw in the alleged rape during the 2009 NCAA Tournament that was announced on the Today Show back in May, and its safe to say Jeff Bzdelik probably hasn't had a worse summer in his career.

- Allan Chaney's career is over: The heart issues that kept the Florida transfer sitting out the past two years at Virginia Tech have ended the big man's career. He was diagnosed with viral myocarditis, which is an infection in the heart that can cause scarring and inflammation of the heart.

- Maryland, NC State and Georgia Tech coaching changes: Three relevant ACC programs will be heading into the 2011-2012 season with new leadership. Georgia Tech replaced Paul Hewitt with Brian Gregory, a solid hire given the $7.2 million the school still owes Paul Hewitt as a buyout. NC State missed on a number of big names, but they were able to sign former Alabama head coach and ESPN announcer Mark Gottfried. Maryland lost Gary Williams to retirement, but hiring Mark Turgeon away from Texas A&M is as good of a hire as there was this offseason. Turgeon promptly locked in assistant coaches with very strong ties to the AAU programs in Baltimore (Bino Ranson) and DC (Dalonte Hill), all but ensuring himself success recruiting the I-95 corridor.

Five storylines to follow this season

- Will the Plumlees ever become quality post players?: With Marshall Plumlee joining his two elder brothers at Duke this season, we are entering year four of the seven year Plumlee experiment at Duke, and to date, none of the three has been able to manage any kind of consistency inside. Mason has the most potential -- he's the strongest, he is the broadest, and he probably has the most talent -- but for every 25 points, 12 rebound, 5 block performance (win over Marquette) he has a 2 point, 4 rebound game (loss to St. John's). Miles has had people talking about him at the start of practices, but we've heard that before. Marshall? If he's anything like his brothers, he'll be a non-factor early in his career.


All accounts have Ryan Kelly coming in much-improved this season. He was an offensive weapon last year, and with his versatility and ability to score on the perimeter, he'll create some matchup problems. But if one of those three Plumlees can become a low-post scoring threat, Duke will have a dangerous high-low tandem.

- North Carolina best team in the country?: The last time that the Tar Heels had this much talent on their roster, Tyler Hansbrough, Ty Lawson and company cut down the nets in Detroit. In terms of raw talent, this group may actually be better than that 2009 UNC team -- and the 2005 team as well -- but they are not the hands down favorites to win the title this year. Kentucky is loaded, as they brought in one of the best recruiting classes in recent memory and actually returned a couple of players from last season. UConn added Andre Drummond, who may actually be the best freshman in the country, to a group that was already a top ten team. Ohio State and Syracuse -- and even Duke -- all bring back teams with enough talent to legitimately have a shot at winning it all.

But Carolina, on paper, is the best team in the country. Will that shine through come March?

- Will Florida State's perimeter develop?: The Seminoles have one of the biggest and best front lines in the country. Bernard James anchors a group that legitimately goes five deep. The fifth guy on that depth chart? Seven-footer Jon Kreft, who was a five-star recruit back in 2006 before he got into some trouble with the law. They'll block shot, they'll rebound and they'll generally make life miserable for their opponents, providing the foundation for what should once again be one of the best defenses in the country. The question for Florida State is going to be how their perimeter develops. Who is going to score? Who is going to be the zone-buster? Can anyone in that group create their own shot? Michael Snaer is the guy that will be facing the most pressure. He will be a junior this season and he will need to finally realize the potential that got him rated in the top 10 coming out of high school.

- Reggie Johnson's knee: With Johnson anchoring the middle, Jim Larranaga's Miami team is one of the most dangerous in the ACC. Durand Scott and Malcolm Grant form one of the most dangerous back courts in the country. With guys like Garrius Adams and DeQuan Jones to play defense and grab some rebounds, the 'Canes do have some glue guys. But without Johnson, they are missing a low-post scoring threat to take pressure off of their perimeter guys. Johnson is scheduled to be out until the turn of the calendar. How healthy will he be for the ACC stretch run? Will he be in good enough condition to contribute immediately? Grant is a senior, so this is the year for Miami.

- Can Virginia or Virginia Tech make the jump this year?: Neither of the ACC's two Virginia schools has made the NCAA Tournament since 2007, but both programs have enough talent on their roster to earn a bid this season. UVa caught a break when Mike Scott was cleared by the NCAA for a fifth-year after suffering an ankle injury last season. But Tony Bennett's club is more than just one player. The Cavs have a young and talented back court that goes six deep while Assane Sene and James Johnson will join Mike Scott up front.


Tech, on the other hand, loses star guard Malcolm Delaney, but they do return Dorenzo Hudson, who averaged 15.2 ppg as a junior. Erick Green was impressive filling in for Hudson last season and should be able to slide in as Seth Greenburg's point guard. With veterans like Victor Davila and JT Thompson being joined by newcomers like Dorian Finney-Smith and CJ Barksdale, the Hokies have the potential to be a sleeper this year.

Power Rankings

1. North Carolina: The Tar Heels looked like they were heading for a disappointing season early on in 2010-2011. They lost a number of close games early in the season, they were struggling to find consistent point guard play and their superstar freshman, Harrison Barnes, was anything but a superstar. But after an embarrassing 20 point loss at Georgia Tech in the third game of ACC play, things started to turn around for the Heels. It started with Larry Drew's surprising decision to leave the team midway through the year. This allowed Kendall Marshall to slide into the starting point guard spot, a move that probably should have been made earlier in the year based on the results. And then Barnes hit a game-winner against Miami, which finally gave the freshman some much-needed confidence, and he all of a sudden transformed into the player that some had pegged as a first-team all-american in the preseason. The Heels found their groove and eventually went on a run that led to an ACC regular season title and a trip to the Elite 8.

This season, with essentially their entire roster intact and a loaded freshman class coming in, the Heels are arguably the most talented team in the country. Its starts with a front line that features as many as four potential first round picks. The name that is going to pop up on every all-american team is Barnes. A smooth, 6'8" small forward, Barnes could have been the No. 1 pick in the 2011 NBA Draft had he decided to go pro. Barnes proved down the stretch of last season that he has the ability to go for 25 on a given night and could end up being an 18 ppg scorer this season. The post spots will be manned by John Henson and Tyler Zeller. Zeller is the better offensive option, a talented seven-footer with a variety of moves on the low-block. Henson is less of an offensive weapon, but he might be the best shot-blocker in the country this year. Both Zeller and Henson are a night mare to keep off the offensive glass. James McAdoo is a supremely talented freshman that could start at any other school in the conference, while Desmond Hubert will provide some depth.

The back court is just as talented even with Leslie McDonald sidelined with a torn acl. Marshall is the engine that makes this UNC team go. He's not all that fast or all that athletic, but he is a perfect fit for Roy Williams' uptempo system thanks to his ability to pass the ball. He's got the kind of court vision that will get his teammates the ball in a position to score before they even know they are open. Dexter Strickland will likely start along side Marshall. Strickland, a junior, is probably UNC's best perimeter defender. It will be interesting to see how Williams divvies up the minutes in the back court, as both Reggie Bullock -- who should finally be healthy as a sophomore -- and freshman PJ Hairston are big time shooters and scorers on the wing that will be able to spread the floor for UNC's big men inside. Senior Justin Watts will provide depth on the wing for the Heels. North Carolina is scary good this season, and will be a favorite to win the national title this year.


2. Duke: The Blue Devils went into the 2010-2011 season as the overwhelming favorite to win a second consecutive national title, and while they looked like they were going to fulfill that destiny early in the year, a freak toe injury to Kyrie Irving changed that. Without Irving, Nolan Smith flourished, but the Blue Devils didn't live up to their lofty expectations. Kyle Singler struggled, the Plumlees were overwhelmed inside and Duke ended up losing the ACC regular season title on the last day of the year. The Blue Devils rebounded, beating UNC in the finals of the ACC Tournament before bowing out in the Sweet 16 when Irving returned for the NCAA Tournament.

Duke is going to have quite a bit of production to replace. Both Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith exhausted their eligibility while Kyrie Irving headed to the NBA after all of 11 games in a Blue Devil uniform. But Duke reloaded with yet another talented freshman class. The star of the group is Austin Rivers, a high-scoring combo-guard that can put on some incredible scoring displays when he gets into a rhythm. He's a bit of a streaky shooter, but he has deep range and is also aggressive getting to the rim. Shot selection, turnovers and over-confidence -- yes, its a thing -- will be an issue, but expect Rivers to remind a lot of folks in Durham of one Jay Williams. Joining Rivers in the back court will be Seth Curry, Steph's younger brother who will finally have a chance to step into the spotlight. Curry will need to embrace the role of point guard as opposed to a scoring guard playing alongside Rivers, but he was successful late in the year doing the same playing with Smith last season. The sharp-shooting Andre Dawkins will see a lot of time this year, likely battling with another touted freshman -- Michael Gbinje, a fundamentally sounds, 6'7" wing -- for the third starting spot on the perimeter. Sophomore Ty Thornton and freshman Quinn Cook will be the two true point guards on Coach K's bench.

Duke's front line will be a question mark heading into the season not because of a lack of size or a dearth of talent, but because of disappointing performances in the past. Duke currently has three Plumlees on their roster -- senior Miles, junior Mason and freshman Marshall. Mason is probably the best out of the group, as he led the Blue Devils in rebounding and blocks last season. He needs to become more of an offensive threat, however. Miles has been inconsistent throughout his career, but reports from practice have said that he's impressed as much as anyone. Marshall is probably the tallest and the most athletic of the trio, but he'll need some muscle and weight before he's really effective in the ACC. The x-factor along the front line is going to be Ryan Kelly. Kelly was terrific when the Blue Devils went to China and has apparently become a more physical and aggressive presence. If he can become a threat as a face-up, he'll be a weapon spreading the floor for the Blue Devils. Alex Murphy and Josh Hairston will also see minutes up front. UNC is the favorite in the ACC this season, but Duke was the favorite a year ago and ended up finishing second in the regular season. If the front line plays big, the Blue Devils will have a chance.


3. Florida State: The Seminoles had, by far, their most successful season under Leonard Hamilton last year. After finishing third in the ACC, Florida State came within two dumb decisions by Derwin Kitchen of making the Elite 8 and playing Kansas for the right to go to the Final Four. FSU is not a team that comes up in the conversation all that often when we're talking college hoops, so last year's success may seem like a surprise, but the Seminoles have slowly been building this program; the only other team in the ACC to win 20 games overall and 10 leagues games the past three years in Duke. This season will be the real test for Florida State, as they head into the year without their top two scorers from last season in Chris Singleton and Derwin Kitchen.

Singleton will be the most difficult piece to replace. Florida State built their team around their defense, and Singleton was the single best defender in the country last season. A versatile forward that could defend three or four different positions. As a result, Florida State is going to have to rely even more on their massive front line. Bernard James is the best of the group. A former staff sergeant in the Air Force, James took a while to really acclimate to playing this level of basketball, but he became a capable scoring option and a quality shot-blocking and rebounding presence by the end of the season. In March, he averaged 11.8 ppg, 6.8 rpg and 3.0 bpg while shooting 70.3% (26-of-37) from the floor. Okaro White, Xavier Gibson, Terrence Shannon and Jon Kreft will all see minutes in the front court as well. White, a sophomore, is probably the best offensive option out of the group while Gibson will be Hamilton's first option when he is looking for more rebounding and shot blocking.

Florida State's back court will have a few question marks -- namely, they need a player that can create shots on the perimeter and a couple of players that will hit open threes and prevent defenses from collapsing on the interior. At the point, sophomore Ian Miller -- who was disappointing as a highly-touted freshman -- and senior Jeff Peterson -- a transfer from Arkansas -- will split time. Junior Michael Snaer will be the most talented player on the wing, but the former five-star recruit has yet to find offensive consistency. He settles for too many tough jumpers for someone with his ability to slash to the bucket. Snaer and Deividas Dulkys are probably the Seminole's best perimeter defenders that return. Offensively, Dulkys does some things well, but he needs to become more of a consistent spot-up shooter. The same can be said for Luke Loucks. Both of Hamilton's perimeter recruits -- Antwan Space and Terry Whisnant -- have a reputation as good shooters, which will definitely help. The Seminoles will, once again, be an elite defensive team with their size around the rim and their ability to pressure the ball defensively. It will enough to make the Seminoles the favorite to finish third in the ACC. How far they go into the postseason, however, will be determined by how good they can become offensively.


4. Virginia: Tony Bennett as done a solid job of turning this Virginia program into a successful one early in his tenure as the Cavalier's head coach. The Cavs, who were picked to finish 11th in the ACC last season, managed to string together some wins and climb all the way to seventh in the league standings by the time the season was done. Perhaps more impressive is the fact that they were able to do so with Mike Scott sidelined with an injury. In his absence, Mustapha Farrakhan became UVa's star, and while his career in Charlottesville has come to an end, the NCAA cleared Scott to return for one more year, putting Virginia into a very good position heading into the 2011-2012 season.

The anchor for this team -- and perhaps the determining factor as to whether or not the 'Hoos will earn themselves an NcAA Tournament -- will be Mike Scott. When he's healthy, Scott is a double-double machine. He was averaging 15.2 ppg and 10.1 rpg when he went down last season, an improvement that was likely the result of his increased ability to draw fouls early in the season. Joining Scott on the front line will be fellow senior Assane Sene. Sene is a legitimate seven-footer that developed into a legitimate presence in the lane, rebounding the ball well and blocking shots as well as anyone on the Virginia team. There isn't much experience behind those two, but sophomore Akil Mitchell and redshirt freshman -- and former top 100 recruit -- James Johnson also in the fray, UVa will have a front line that can, at the very least, hold their own against most competition.

The back court will be an interesting one to keep an eye on, as there is quite a bit of talent on the roster, but a lot of youth as well. Senior Sammy Zeglinski and junior Jontel Evans will likely share the point guard duties. The two compliment each other well, as Zeglinski is a more dangerous shooter and a better scorer while Evans is the team's most talented creator. One of the biggest boosts the Cavs should get will come from their wings. Both KT Harrell and Joe Harris played very well as freshmen, and with a year under their belts playing an expanded role, both should be expected to be better as sophomores. But their spots in the starting lineup are far from guaranteed, as Bennett brings in a couple of talented wings in Malcolm Brogdon and Paul Jesperson. With Miami's Reggie Johnson out with a knee injury to start the season, Virginia will be the trendy sleeper pick in the ACC.


5. Virginia Tech: With a talented and experienced roster returning and thanks to a pumped-up non-conference schedule put together by head coach Seth Greenburg, 2010-2011 was supposed to be the year that Malcolm Delaney finally got a chance to play in the NCAA Tournament. It wasn't meant to be, however, as the Hokies suffered through some terrible luck on the injury front. Big man Allan Chaney was never cleared to play due to a heart condition. JT Thompson blew out his acl in July. Dorenzo Hudson and Cadarian Raines both had their season shut down in December and took a medical redshirt. Throw in Jarell Eddie's suspension and Victor Davila's bum shoulder, and by the time the NIT rolled around, Greenburg was using a 6'3" walk-on to provide him with post minutes.

If there is a silver-lining to that awful string of luck, its that those injuries mean that the cupboard won't be completely bare for Tech heading into this season. Not only will Thompson and Hudson return for another season, but the open minutes freed up playing time for some of the youngsters. One of the guys that benefitted was sophomore point guard Erick Green, who averaged 11.7 ppg and 2.7 apg despite Delaney dominating the ball on the offensive end of the floor. Green will need to shore up his perimeter jumper, but one of the most promising signs for his future is the 2.3:1 assist-to-turnover ratio he posted. The key for Tech this season may be the health of Hudson. As a junior, he averaged over 15 ppg and posted a couple of big games, including dropping 41 on Seton Hall when Delaney was injured. If Hudson is back to his old form and Green continues to improve, Greenburg has a solid back court to work with. There are a couple of talented youngsters as well -- sophomores Tyrone Garland and Jarell Eddie and freshman Robert Brown and Marquis Rankin will provide some minutes off the bench.

The front court will be anchored by the senior Davila, a bruising, 6'8" power forward that will provide Greenburg with some toughness in the paint. Thompson will be back as well and should be healthy. He's only 6'6", but he's a tough defender and will get to the glass on both ends of the floor. Freshman CJ Barksdale will likely see minutes as well, but the x-factor may end up being Dorian Finney-Smith, a versatile, 6'8" combo-forward that is the highest-rated recruit Greenburg has landed in quite a while. A trip to the NCAA Tournament would not necessarily be a surprise for this group, but it shouldn't be an expectation. There is potential here, but there are also quite a few question marks and unproven youngsters penciled in for big minutes.


6. Miami: The Hurricanes finished last season at 19-14 and just 6-10 in the ACC, but that final league record is a bit misleading. Miami was not a bad basketball team. Of those 10 ACC losses, only two came by double digits -- both to Duke, and by a combined 21 points. They were within a Harrison Barnes three of knocking off North Carolina early in the season before losing the the Heels by two in the ACC Tournament. With only one player from last season's rotation gone, there was plenty of reason to be excited about the 'Canes prior to their disastrous offseason (see the summer storylines).

With all the drama surrounding Miami, the biggest blow to the program came in the form of a knee injury suffered by center Reggie Johnson in July. Johnson tore his meniscus and had surgery which will keep him out until conference play starts. Even if he is able to return for the season, there is no way to tell how long it will take him to get into game shape -- the 300 lb Johnson isn't known for being in the best shape as is -- and whether or not he will be effective when he returns. The gaping hole in the middle of the Miami lineup is made even bigger when consider that Julian Gamble went down with a torn acl. It will put a ton of pressure on Florida transfer Kenny Kadji to become an effective post player, and also throws undersized Erik Swoope and seldon-used sophomore Raphael Akpejiori into much more influential roles.


Without Johnson, the Hurricanes are going to have to rely heavily upon their talented back court duo of Malcolm Grant and Durand Scott. Both Scott and Grant are above-average guards in the ACC. Grant, who is 6'1" and the better shooter of the two, is more of a ball-handler while Scott, who checks in at 6'5", is the better slasher. As a duo, they combined for 28.4 ppg and 6. apg last season, numbers that are going to have to go up next season. Small forward Garrius Adams came on strong late in the season, winning the starting small forward job away from Adrian Thomas. DeQuan Jones is a ridiculously athletic wing, although he has yet to live up to the hype he had coming out of high school. UMKC transfer Trey McKinney Jones will also see quite a few minutes in the back court, while freshmen Shane Larkin and Bishop Daniels will provide depth. If Johnson can return from his injury and be effective in ACC play, the Hurricanes will be a sleeper this season. If not, there is enough firepower in the back court for this team to compete on a nightly basis and, in all likelihood, pull off a couple of upsets along the way.


7. Clemson: The Tigers were expected to be rebuilding in 2010-2011. Not only were they losing their star big man in first round pick Trevor Booker, but head coach Oliver Purnell made the decision to take the DePaul head coaching job. With a new coach running a new system, it only made sense that the Tigers would take time to rebuild. But Brownell, who had led both UNC-Greensboro and Wright State to the NCAA Tournament, didn't miss a beat, leading Clemson to their fourth straight NCAA Tournament appearance through stout defense, offensive execution and a team that continued to compete and get better throughout the season. After consecutive losses to Michigan, South Carolina and Florida State put the Tigers are 5-4 on the season, Clemson responded with an eight game winning streak and eventually finished tied for fourth in the ACC.

Perhaps the most noteworthy accomplishment Clemson had last season is that they were never blown out. Their 70-59 loss to Duke at the end of the regular season was the only time the Tigers lost by double figures. And while Clemson does lose Demontez Stitt and Jerai Grant, there is still more than enough talent on this team to expect another push for a tournament bid. Clemson will be anchored by their senior back court of Tanner Smith and Andre Young. Both are terrific on-ball defenders, which makes them ideal for Brownell's system. Young, who played off-the-ball last season, will be forced to take on more of a point guard role this year. It will be interesting to see how that works out, as he is more of a natural scorer. The change should be made easier by the fact that Smith is a capable creator as well. The rest of the Clemson perimeter attack will be made up of freshmen. KJ McDaniels is an active and athletic small forward that will have a shot of starting at the three, while a trio of guards -- Daniel Sapp, Devin Coleman, and Rod Hall -- will provide depth.

Clemson's front court is intriguing. Milton Jennings was a big-time recruit coming out of high school, a McDonald's all-american that was recruited by just about everyone. But he has yet to come close to living up to those expectations. As a sophomore, Jennings averaged 8.3 ppg and 5.2 rpg while playing 20 mpg coming off the bench. With the graduation of Jerai Grant, Jennings is going to be a guy counted on for a big season. The same can be said for Devin Booker, the younger brother of Trevor. Devin didn't have quite as much hype coming out of high school, but he did start over Jennings last season and put up similar numbers. If those two can put it all together, they will give Brownell an athletic and versatile (they both have three-point range) front court. The uber-athletic Bryan Narcisse and freshman big man Bernard Sullivan will program front court depth. Clemson will, once again, be a tough out everytime they step on the court.


8. NC State: The Wolfpack headed into the 2010-2011 season with lofty expectations. They returned a number of key pieces and brought in the best recruiting class of former head coach Sidney Lowe's tenure. But thanks to a myriad of injuries and a couple of ill-timed suspensions, NC State once again struggled, falling into a 10th place tie with Georgia Tech in the ACC standings. The disappointing season was enough to get Lowe fired. After a coaching search that missed on a number of big name targets, the Wolfpack settled on Mark Gottfried, the former Alabama head coach that had taken a job as an analyst for ESPN broadcasts.

Gottfried will have a decent young core to build on in Raleigh. It starts with CJ Leslie a maddeningly inconsistent but supremely talented sophomore big man. Leslie, who averaged 11.0 ppg and 7.2 rpg as a freshman, struggled at times but also showed the kind of promise that make some pundits believe he'll be an all-ACC performer before his is done at NC State, possibly as early as this season. Leslie will be joined on the front line by Richard Howell. Howell is a 6'9" junior that is the best offensive rebounder on the team. He started when Tracy Smith was out with a knee injury and was quite productive when he was on the court. Juniors Deshawn Painter and Jordan Vandenburg will both be counted on to improve this season with more minutes, while they will be pushed for playing time off the bench by Terrel Harris, the younger brother of first round pick Tobias.

In the back court, Lorenzo Brown will be the guy that is called upon to run this team. With Ryan Harrow transferring out of the program and into Kentucky, Brown is left as the one point guard on the roster. Joining Brown in the back court will be junior sharp-shooter Scott Wood, who is capable of getting hot and carrying the team for stretches. After that, however, there are a lot of question marks in the back court. CJ Williams has been a starter before and has had his moments for the Wolfpack, while freshman Jaqawn Raymond will also be counted on to provide some minutes. After that, however, there isn't much on NC State's roster. There are some pieces for Gottfried to work with in his first season running this program, but the depth isn't there for this team to make a serious run in the ACC.


9. Maryland: Things are going to look quite different at Maryland than they did last season. Jordan Williams made the decision to enter the NBA Draft, which, when combined with three key players -- two starters -- graduating, leaves the Terps without four of their top five scorers and their only real inside presence. Without Williams on the roster, head coach Gary Williams decided that he no longer wanted to coach the Terps, surprising just about everyone with his decision to retire in early May. Maryland did make a homerun hire, however, pulling Mark Turgeon away from Texas A&M. But the coaching change wasn't without collateral damage, as two-thirds of Maryland's solid recruiting class decommitted and ended up elsewhere.


Turgeon was able to keep the jewel of the class in Baltimore native Nick Faust, an off-guard with a dangerous offensive repertoire. At 6'6", Faust brings some much needed size to the Maryland perimeter, because the rest of the back court is small. It starts with Terrell Stoglin, a (generously listed) 6'1" point guard. Stoglin really came on strong late in his freshman season, eventually become the best ball-handler on the Maryland roster. He needs to develop into more of a point guard role, but some of that pressure will be taken off with Pe'Shon Howard sharing the back court with him. Howard look like he was going to be the young star of this Maryland team early in the season, and while he struggled a bit through the middle of the year, Howard also played well late in the year. Throw in Sean Mosley, who has been consistently solid for three years now, and the Terps have a talented back court.

The front court is a different story, however, as losing Jordan Williams left them with bare bones. James Padgett, a 6'8" junior that has never been able to earn more than a handful of minutes a game, is going to be heavily counted on by Turgeon to provide some kind of production in the paint. As will senior Berend Weijs, a 6'10" native of the Netherlands that also struggled to get consistent minutes last year. Mychal Parker, a 6'5" athlete and former four-star recruit, should be able to help in the front court with his athleticism, but the key may end up being getting Alex Len eligible. Len is still waiting to hear from the NCAA if he has to miss any games this season, but the 7'1" Ukranian should help provide some depth inside. Losing Williams was a killer for this team. Their back court is good enough to compete with teams that don't have much size, but without Williams, the Terps are going to get dominated in the paint.


10. Georgia Tech: Georgia Tech may have been the worst team in the country on the road last season. That's not an exaggeration, either. Their losing streak started with an 17 point beatdown at the hands of Kennesaw State in the second game of the season and didn't end until their very last road game, which just so happened to come against a Wake Forest team that had long since given up on the season. When it was all said and done, the Yellow Jackets were 13-18 on the season and 5-11 in the ACC, which was enough to finally get the Georgia Tech athletics department to terminate Paul Hewitt. To get an idea of how fed up the higher-ups at Tech were with Hewitt, think about this -- it cost them a $7.2 million buyout to get rid of him.

The Yellow Jackets brought in Brian Gregory from Dayton, which wasn't exactly a homerun hire but was far from a worst case scenario given how hamstrung the school was by Hewitt's buyout. Gregory's first task was to re-recruit both Iman Shumpert and Brian Oliver, but it didn't work. Shumpert went pro and Oliver transferred to Seton Hall, leaving the Yellow Jackets short-handed heading into this season. There still is some talent on the roster, however. When junior shooting guard Glen Rice Jr gets into a rhythm, he's a dangerous scorer that is capable of putting up some pretty impressive numbers. He's a bit streaky, however, and can get into situations where he has to force some tough threes off the dribble. With Moe Miller's graduation, expect Mfon Udofia to get another shot at running the team. Udofia was a highly-regarded recruit in high school but has not developed into a playmaker at this level. If Udofia can't perform this season, don't be surprised to see Brandon Reed take over the reins. Reed was a high-scoring combo-guard at Arkansas State -- he averaged 16.8 ppg in Sun Belt play as a freshman -- before transferring to the Yellow Jackets. Sophomore Jason Morris, a wing player that shot 40% from three and came on strong late in the year, will also see a lot of minutes.

Up front, Gregory is going to need someone to develop into some kind of scoring threat. Daniel Miller proved to be a capable rebounder and an excellent shot blocker, but he averaged 4.4 ppg and managed to get to the line just 46 times all season (he only made 17 of those). Kammeon Hosley is a terrific athlete when he's healthy, but he looked like he was still shaking off the effects of a torn acl during the season. Sophomore Nate Hicks showed some potential as a defensive presence as a freshman. Freshman Julian Royal may end up being the best option, as he has a reputation for being able to put the ball in the bucket. Gregory's team is fairly young, but there are some talented scorers, especially in the back court, that could spark an upset similar to the one Tech pulled off against North Carolina last season.


11. Boston College: All in all, 2010-2011 should probably be considered a successful season for Boston College. After being predicted to finish in the cellar of the ACC, the Eagles managed to scrap their way up to a tie for fourth place in the conference. And while they won a game in the ACC Tournament and earned themselves a bid to the NIT, there could have been so much more. What if the Eagles hadn't lost to two Ivy Leagues opponents early in the season? What if the last-second three in a 48-46 loss to North Carolina hadn't rimmed out? What if BC hadn't lost at home to Miami late in the season, or had been more competitive in their ACC Tournament loss? Could this group have earned an NCAA Tournament bid?

That question will loom large this season as the Eagles are in full-on rebuilding mode. Seriously. Their leading returning scorer is walk-on Danny Rubin at 4.1 ppg; he averaged 1.9 ppg in ACC play. Only three other players that were in the program last year are back -- Matt Humphrey, who sat the season out as a transfer from Oregon; Gabe Moton, who averaged a whopping 2.5 ppg; and Peter Rehnquist, another walk-on. Steve Donahue did manage to bring in a nine-member recruiting class. Ryan Anderson, a 6'8" power forward out of California, is probably the most-highly regarded prospect of the group. KC Caudill, a 6'10" center that also hails from Cali, joins the group as well. Patrick Heckeman is a versatile, 6'5" guard out of Germany. 6'10" Dennis Clifford is a fairly skillled big man from the area. There is some potential for down the road, but don't expect too much out of BC this season.


12. Wake Forest: The good news for Wake Forest is that, front this point forward, there is no where for them to go but up. The bad news? It may take quite a while for the Demon Deacons to get up. Wake struggled through a non-conference schedule that featured embarrassing losses to the likes of Stetson, Presbyterian, Winthrop and UNC-Wilmington. There was no rebound, either. After halting a four game losing streak by knocking off High Point right before ACC play started, Jeff Bzdelik's club went on to lose 16 of the 17 games their played against ACC competition. Throw in the flurry of defections from the program -- both voluntary and mandated -- and Wake is in big trouble heading into the season.

The good news is that the Demon Deacons do return their best player from last season in Travis McKie. McKie developed into one of the better freshman in the conference last season, averaging 13.0 ppg and 7.7 rpg as one of the lone bright spots on the Wake Forest roster. Carson Desrosiers, a seven-foot sophomore, and Nikita Mescheriakov, a Georgetown transfer, also are back. Throw in 6'10" freshman Daniel Green, and Wake has a decent front line to work with. The back court will return Tony Chennault and CJ Harris, two important pieces from last season's team that will be counted on to provide some scoring and offensive creativity. Was last season's debacle the result of a lack of talent in the program, or was it simply what happens when a team completely lacks chemistry? I'll go with all of the above. Don't expect too much improvement this season, although I do think Wake will get more than a single ACC win.
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Thursday, March 10, 2011

Previewing the Madness: The ACC

The unlikeliest conference finish of the season belongs to the ACC, where North Carolina, the team that everyone had left for dead heading into conference play, is champ.

Duke was the favorite coming into the season. Not the favorite to win just win the ACC, but to win everything. Hell, if was just three months ago that we were talking about the possibility of the Blue Devils going undefeated. Seems like a long time ago, doesn't it?

The rest of the ACC has been mired in mediocrity all season long, with teams like Florida State and Virginia Tech going from ranked in the top 25 to the bubble conversation. And while that mediocrity has made for, at times, some ugly basketball, it hasn't caused a like of excitement or intrigue heading into the league tournament.

With three teams -- Boston College, Virginia Tech, and Clemson -- sitting on the bubble's cut line and a fourth -- Maryland -- a run to the final away from a bid, there will be plenty decided over the next four days in Greensboro Coliseum.

Where: Greensboro, NC

When: March 10th-13th

Final: March 13th, 1:00 pm, ESPN


Favorite: Duke Blue Devils

I know, I know, I know. North Carolina just ran Duke off of the court in the regular season finale, locking up the regular season title in the process. And while North Carolina is currently the hottest team in the conference, if not the country, I am not yet ready to hand over the title of tournament favorite just yet. Duke is experienced. They've won titles before, including last year's national title. For my money, the national player of the year is on Duke's roster in the form of Nolan Smith. Seth Curry is turning into a dangerous complimentary scorer. And Kyle Singler? Well, if you remember, last year's Final Four most outstanding player had a relatively ho-hum regular season in 2009-2010 as well.

  • Other Contenders: Having said all that about the Dukies, if they are the favorite, then North Carolina is the favorite with an asterisk. Since Larry Drew was benched in favor on Kendall Marshall, the Tar Heels are one bad half away from winning out. Harrison Barnes is finally living up to the hype he had coming into the season. John Henson and Tyler Zeller are playing as well as they have in their entire careers. But winning under pressure is a learned skill. North Carolina has a young roster that hasn't experienced much success in their careers. I may end up looking foolish here, but I am not ready to hand over the title of tournament favorite just yet.
Sleeper: Virginia Tech Hokies

Ugh. I hate putting any kind of faith in Seth Greenberg's teams late in the season. But at some point, they have to come away with some big wins, right? Outside of Duke and UNC, the Hokies are probably the most talented team in the conference with Malcolm Delaney and Jeff Allen on their roster. They also knocked off Duke two weekends ago, which gives me some faith that this team can still wake up before the season is over.

  • Deeper Sleepers: Can I call Florida State a sleeper? Even if Chris Singleton comes back for the tournament? He's been participating in some non-contact drills, so may his foot heels up in time. Regardless, this team has been better on the offensive end of the floor without Singleton and they still have size inside and some good defenders on the perimeter. Boston College's Reggie Jackson could very well be the best player in the ACC not named Nolan Smith, and when he gets help in the form of Joe Trapani, Corey Raji, and Biko Paris, the Eagles are a tough out.
Players to Watch:
  • Jordan Williams, Maryland: Williams may very well be the best big man in the ACC. He's physical on the block, he can create position, and he is an excellent rebounder. When he is finishing inside and hitting his free throws, Williams is a legitimate 20-10 guy.
  • Reggie Jackson, Boston College: I'm not talking about Mr. October. Jackson is an excellent scorer with range that can create for his teammates as well. He is also a tremendous leaper that has his share of poster dunks in his career.

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Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Conference Play Primer: The ACC

Favorite: Duke Blue Devils

I'm not expecting too much of an argument on that one. Not only is Duke the No. 1 team in the country right now -- even without Kyrie Irving -- but the rest of the ACC has been just pitiful. People are legitimately discussing whether or not Duke has a chance to go undefeated this season, and I guarantee that there are more people that think Duke won't lose a game than think the Blue Devils won't win the ACC.


Player of the Year: Reggie Jackson, Boston College

There are a number of legitimate Player of the Year options in the ACC at this point in the season, but I'm going with Jackson. He's second in the conference in both scoring (19.2) and assists (5.0) while grabbing 4.4 rpg and shooting an obscene 50.9% from three. He's also been the catalyst in BC's resurgence under Steve Donahue, carrying the team to a 10-2 mark here early in the season, which includes a win on the road against Maryland in their ACC opener. As crazy as it may sound, BC might just be the second best team in the ACC. And Reggie Jackson is the reason why.

All-Conference Team:

  • G: Nolan Smith, Duke: 17.1 ppg, 5.4 apg, 4.6 rpg
  • F: Kyle Singler, Duke: 17.0 ppg, 5.5 rpg
  • F: Chris Singleton, FSU: 14.9 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 2.1 spg, 2.4 bpg
  • F: Mike Scott, UVa: 15.9 ppg, 10.2 rpg (takes Kyrie Irving's spot)
  • C: Jordan Williams, Maryland: 18.2 ppg, 11.9 rpg
Biggest Surprise: Virginia Tech Hokies

Boston College has probably been the only team in the conference that has been a surprise in a positive way. Since I don't want to talk about the Eagles, I'll go the other direction. This was supposed to be Virginia Tech's year to breakthrough. With senior Malcolm Delaney leading this way, the Hokie's were going to have the supporting cast around the ACC Player of the Year as they gave Duke a run for their money atop the conference. That was the plan, anyway. Then Allan Chaney had a heart condition discovered, JT Thompson tore his acl, and Virginia Tech struggled through the non-conference portion of their schedule before finding out that Dorenzo Hudson, last year's leading scorer, would miss the rest of the season due to injury. Without a quality win, and with very few quality wins available in the ACC this year, it looks as if the Hokies will once again miss the NCAA Tournament.

Biggest Disappointment: Harrison Barnes

Since I'm not going to simply answer "the conference as a whole" (because that would be too correct accurate easy), I'll go with Barnes. Barnes has been far from bad this season. He is the Tar Heel's second leading scorer at 12.3 ppg, which, as an incoming freshman, is commendable. The problem is that with the hype bestowed upon this young man this season, "commendable" is not good enough. Barnes was named CBSSports.com preseason national Player of the Year and became the first freshman to ever be named an AP Preseason All-American. Its not his fault that he had this much hype coming in, but he certainly hasn't lived up to those expectations. Its not an issue of talent, it seems more to be an issue of confidence. Barnes is not playing as aggressive as many expected him to, and he certainly isn't shooting the ball all that well. There is still time for him to turn things around. Personally, I'm hoping he will; Barnes seems like a genuinely good kid.


Teams to keep an eye on:
  • NC State: Don't write off the Wolfpack just yet. If you remember, last year's leading scorer and rebounder, big man Tracy Smith, is still out of the lineup with a knee injury he suffered early on in the season. With as much young talent as Sidney Lowe has on that roster, missing your best and most experienced player was expected to yield some growing pains.
  • Florida State: Chris Singleton is probably the best individual defensive player in the country. With the Seminole's size, they are one of the best half court defensive teams in the country as well. Offense is their problem, as they don't seem to run anything at that end of the floor, but Singleton looked improved on that end at the Diamond Head Classic.
  • Maryland: The Terps have talent on their roster, especially in the front court where Jordan Williams anchors an athletic front line. Their issue is in the back court. Two freshmen and Adrian Bowie have been sharing point guard duties, and it hasn't gone all that well. Maryland has four losses, but all four were winnable games that the Terps cost themselves with poor decision making down the stretch.
  • North Carolina: There is just too much talent on this team to ignore. Will they put it all together? I don't know. But December is too early to write off a team with seven Burger Boys on the roster.
  • Miami FL: Two great guards, a hoss in the middle, and a couple of athletes on the wing? What more does a team need in this conference?
Teams to forget about:
  • Virginia Tech: Injuries and illnesses have just decimated this team's depth and talent level. Malcolm Delaney is a player, but there just isn't enough on this roster.
  • Georgia Tech: The loss to Kennesaw State was bad, as that team as not won a game since then. But then three days before Christmas the Yellow Jackets went to Siena and lost to a Saints team that was without Clarence Jackson and that had a banged up Ryan Rossiter in the second half. Paul Hewitt is lucky he got the contract he did after that Final Four season.

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Tuesday, August 24, 2010

The Only Conference Preview You Need To Read: The ACC

Summer officially ends on September 22nd, but for me, the end of summer always coincided with the end of August. Or when I had to go to school. (That first day was always the worst, wasn't it?) Anyway, school is right around the corner, which means that college basketball season is around the corner, down the street, through two lights, and on the left. Since we've all had a fight with our GPS at one time or another, we at BIAH will take this week to roll out our way-too-early, all-encompassing conference previews.

To browse through the other conferences, click here.



Pre-season Awards

Player of the Year: Malcolm Delaney, Virginia Tech

This may be an unpopular pick with the folks down in Durham, but let me explain. Duke legitimately has two, maybe even three (depending on how good Kyrie Irving ends up being), players that will contend for conference player of the year. That's why they are going to be the best team in the league. Kyle Singler can afford to have an off-night, because Nolan Smith and Irving, and even a Seth Curry or a Plumlee, are talented enough to carry the Dukies, at least for stretches. No disrespect to Dorenzo Hudson or Jeff Allen -- both are very good players -- but they are a notch below the second and third options that the Blue Devils have. I think Delaney has the kind of senior season that Greivis Vasquez had last year; one where he puts up very impressive numbers and leads his team to their best season in recent memory. (Duke also had two, maybe three, viable player of the year candidates last year as well.) Keep in mind, Delaney has been on the wrong side of the bubble in each of his three seasons in Blacksburg. You don't think he is determined to win something this year?


And a close second goes to: Kyle Singler, Duke

Runner-up came down to Singler and Nolan Smith, but with the amount of talent that Duke has in their back court this year, Smith may not have the opportunites that Singler does. Hell, Smith could very well be a second-fiddle in the back court to Irving by season's end. I see Smith playing a complimentary role -- albeit very well, but still as a second or third option -- this season. Before last season, I called Singler the best complimentary player in the country. Last season changed my opinion of him. He played fantastic basketball down the stretch, capped by an outstanding tournament, a better title game, and a Final Four MOP award. This is Singler's team.

Breakout Star: Tyler Zeller, UNC

Zeller has had a rough first two seasons with the Tar Heels. As a freshman, he broke his wrist in the second game of the season before returning late in the year for front court depth and a shot to participate in a national championship. As a sophomore, Zeller missed 10 games with a stress fracture in his foot before returning for an essentially meaningless stretch run. And for the majority of his time in Chapel Hill, he has played second fiddle to the likes of Tyler Hansbrough, Ed Davis, and Deon Thompson. Zeller is a talented player in the post, with a solid back-to-the-basket game and a nice touch of his jumper. Playing on a team where he is the only real offensive threat in the post with a talented back court, Zeller should have plenty of opportunities to get post touches and will be needed to rebound the ball effectively. He averaged 9.3 ppg and 4.6 rpg playing just over 17 minutes as second fiddle last year. What happens this season when he is the a go-to guy in the post and gets 34 minutes?

All-Conference First Team:

  • POY - Malcolm Delaney, Virginia Tech, Sr.
  • G - Nolan Smith, Duke, Sr.
  • G/F - Harrison Barnes, UNC, Fr.
  • F - Chris Singleton, Florida State, Jr.
  • F - Kyle Singler, Duke, Sr.
  • F - Tracy Smith, NC State, Sr.
All-Conference Second Team:
  • G - Kyrie Irving, Duke, Fr.
  • G - Durand Scott, Miami, So.
  • F - Joe Trapani, Boston College, Sr.
  • F - Tyler Zeller, UNC, Jr.
  • F - Jordan Williams, Maryland, So.
Freshman of the Year: Harrison Barnes, UNC

Barnes has a very real shot at being the first pick in the 2011 NBA Draft should he decide to come out. A 6'8" small forward, Barnes is an incredibly smooth player. He doesn't have the length or freakish tools of a Kevin Durant, but plays a similar style to Durant. He's always under control, thrives in the mid-range, and is an excellent all-around shooter. Barnes is a smart kid that understands how to play the game and has sneaky athleticism. Barnes will likely be the focal point of the Tar Heel attack from day one, and some believe he has a shot at being a first-team all-american.


All-Freshman Team:
  • G - Kyrie Irving, Duke
  • G - Kendall Marshall, UNC
  • G - Reggie Bullock, UNC
  • G - JT Terrell, Wake Forest
  • F - CJ Leslie, NC State
What Happened?:
  • Coaching Changes: It was a relatively quiet off-season in the ACC, unless you were a head coach. Boston College got rid of Al Skinner, parting ways before the man who headed the Eagles for 13 years interviewed at St. John's. BC brought in Cornell head coach Steve Donahue, who built the Big Red from an Ivy cellar dweller to a Sweet 16 team.

    Next up was Oliver Purnell, who simply up and left Clemson for DePaul. A week later, the Tigers signed Brad Brownell away from Wright State.

    Perhaps the most surprising coaching change belongs to Wake Forest, who fired head coach Dino Gaudio despite making a second straight tournament after another disappointing finish to a season. The Demon Deacons hired Colorado head coach Jeff Bzdelik, who pulled of one of the more impressive recruiting feats I can remember. Bzdelik kept the Wake Forest assistant coaches on staff, and was able to convince all five members of Gaudio's impressive recruiting class to stay and give him a chance.

  • Allan Chaney passes out: Chaney, who transferred to Virginia Tech from Florida and was scheduled to be eligible this fall, gave everyone a scare this summer. He fainted during a workout and had to be revived when a trainer gave him CPR. It was ruled dehydration, but after collapsing again later in the summer, it was determined Chaney needed more tests. He was found to have a viral inflammation of the heart, and it is not yet known if he will be able to play for the Hokies this season, although it doesn't look good.

    More bad news was sent the Hokies way when they found out that JT Thompson would miss the season after tearing his acl.

  • Speaking of the Hokies: Seth Greenberg always seems to be on the wrong side of the bubble. In fact, each of the last three seasons, Virginia Tech has been left out of the NCAA Tournament. Would it surprise you that he wanted tournament expansion, or that he didn't like the format of the "First Four"? Regardless, Greenberg has decided to play a tougher schedule in hopes that he avoids being left out again this season.

  • Bernard James: Is it possible that the most interesting person in college basketball is on Florida State? Read this, then answer that question.
What's Next?
  • Why does no one want ACC schools?: Throughout everything that went on this summer with conference expansion, the ACC was really the only league that stayed out of the rumor mill. Sure, there was speculation that Maryland could be headed to the Big Ten, but that was it.

  • Another national title?: The ACC has accounted for five of the last ten national titles. Many believe that Duke is far and away the best team in the country this season. Can they repeat?


Power Rankings:
  1. Duke: The reigning national champs, Duke is easily the favorite to win it all. A major reason for that is the talent that the Blue Devils got back. Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler, both of whom are going to populate a number of preseason all-america lists, both decided against going pro to return to school and try and win a second straight national title. Smith will be the anchor for what should be one of the better back courts in the country. Joining Smith in the starting line-up will likely be Kyrie Irving, who most believe is one of the top five recruits in the country. Irving, a pure point guard that plays well beyond his years, will be a perfect complement to Smith in the back court. Seth Curry -- Steph's little brother who averaged 20+ ppg at Liberty as a freshman that will be eligible this season -- Andre Dawkins, and freshman Tyler Thornton fill out the back court for Coach K. With more of a guard-oriented line-up this season, Singler will go back to splitting time at the three and the four. Brian Zoubek is gone, which means Duke is going to need one of their bigs -- whether it is Mason Plumlee (who is the most talented of the group), Miles Plumlee, Ryan Kelly, or freshman Josh Hairston -- to develop a mean streak defensively and on the glass. That said, this is still a team that is as deep as it is talented. Don't be surprised if they win both ACC titles and a national title.

  2. Virginia Tech: The Hokies may just be the second best team in the ACC this season. While they missed the NCAA Tournament last year, this was still a 25-win club that went 10-6 in the ACC, and they return everyone from last season. Malcolm Delaney, who could very well be the ACC player of the year this season, returns, as does Jeff Allen and Dorenzo Hudson, giving the Hokies as good of a 1-2-3 punch as there is outside of Duke. Victor Davila and Allan Chaney (assuming he can get cleared) will provide muscle inside, which will be all the more important with JT Thompson sidelined for the season. Terrell Bell and freshman Jarell Eddie give the Hokies athleticism and defensive toughness on the perimeter. Erick Green proved to be an adequate back-up at the point in limited minutes as a freshman. Its tough to think anyone can take the ACC from Duke this season, but Tech has as good of a chance as any team at finishing second in the conference.

  3. North Carolina: Its going to be interesting to see where North Carolina gets placed by writers in the preseason. The Heels were arguably the most disappointing team in the country last season and lost quite a bit (Ed Davis, Deon Thompson, the Wear twins, Marcus Ginyard) from that club. But this is also a team that has had two very good recruiting classes back-to-back, which means that there are quite a few question marks. Up front, the biggest question mark is depth. There are really only three bigs on the roster. Tyler Zeller is back for his junior season. When he is healthy, he is a very good post player on both ends, but he has battled suffered major injuries each of his first two seasons. John Henson was a top 10 recruit in 2009, but until he puts on weight he won't be overly effective in the ACC. Justin Knox, an Alabama transfer, will be eligible immediately. His size will be nice, but he averaged 6.3 ppg and 3.7 rpg as a junior. On the perimeter, the question marks will be positional battles. Larry Drew is the veteran point guard. Leslie McDonald and Dexter Strickland were hyped as freshmen, but had disappointing first seasons. Kendall Marshall and Reggie Bullock are this year's talented freshman, and while Bullock could very well end up starting for this team, the guy to watch will be Marshall. Drew wasn't the answer last season at the point, and Marshall was a highly regarded recruit. It seems the only certainty anyone has with this team is that Harrison Barnes will be the real deal. UNC should be improved next year, and while I believe Duke and Virginia Tech are still the better teams right now, this group should be in the mix for the second spot in the ACC.

  4. NC State: It seems that Wolfpack fans that have been patient with Sidney Lowe's tenure will finally be rewarded this year, as NC State looks to have a team that can make a run at a tournament bid. Its starts up front, where the Pack got some great news when Tracy Smith, who led the team in scoring and rebounding as a junior, withdrew from the NBA Draft and decided to return for his senior season. The news got better when Lowe scored an upset, landing 6'8" Raliegh native CJ Leslie, a top 20 recruit. With Richard Howell and 7'0" sophomore Jordan Vandenburg also returning, the Wolfpack have a very good front line. Lowe will also have a nice combination of experience and young talent in his back court. Javier Gonzalez, who started at the point last season, will be back for his senior season. 6'7" shooter Scott Wood also returns, as does CJ Williams, a 6'6" swingman who started 16 games as a sophomore. Freshmen guards Lorenzo Brown and Ryan Harrow will provide depth, and quite possibly compete for a starting spot. This is the most talented, and probably the deepest, team Lowe has had at NC State. It will be a disappointment if he cannot lead this group to the NCAA Tournament.

  5. Florida State: The Seminoles lost both of their starting front court players -- Solomon Alabi and Ryan Reid -- but should still have enough size up front. 6'11" junior Xavier Gibson returns who, along with Terrence Shannon, who only played in 18 games, is the only rotational big man back from last season. But Hamilton brings in plenty on the front line. Okaro White is a 6'8", top 100 forward. Jon Kreft, who initially signed with Florida State is 2006 but has had his share of troubles getting into the school, is a seven-footer and former five-star recruit that will finally be eligible this year. Bernard James is a 6'10" JuCo all-american that spent six years abroad in the Air Force. Florida State's biggest issue last season was their ability on the offensive end; simply put, they couldn't score. With the exception of incoming freshman Ian Miller, a four star point guard out of Charlotte, this is the same group. The two best players on the perimeter are Chris Singleton and Michael Snaer. Both are tremendous athletes -- Snaer playing the two, Singleton at the three -- with a ton of upside, but offensively they are limited. One of those two is going to need to develop into a legitimate threat with the ball. Derwin Kitchen might be the best creator for Leonard Hamilton's club, but he turns 25 during the season. He won't be getting all that much better. Rounding out the perimeter will be juniors Luke Loucks and Deividas Dulkys. Florida State is going to be a big, physical, experienced club, and if a couple of their better players can improve their scoring ability, this is a team that could once again win 20 games, finish above .500 in the conference, and make the NCAA Tournament.

  6. Clemson: With Oliver Purnell now at DePaul and Trevor Booker getting paychecks from the Wizards, its pretty obvious that Clemson is going to be a much different team next season. Where Clemson was a team known for their full-court press under Purnell, it will be interesting to see how new coach Brad Brownell runs this team. At Wright State, he was known for his team's staunch, halfcourt defense and offensive execution. Brownell walks into a pretty good situation with Clemson. With Demontez Stitt, Andre Young, and Tanner Smith, Brownell has an experienced and tough back court returning. Throw sophomore Noel Johnson, who is only going to get better, into the mix, and the Tigers will have a very perimeter. The key to the Clemson season is going to be how their front line develops. Jerai Grant is a known commodity, an athletic, 6'8" senior that is going to get some dunks, some rebounds, a couple of blocks. Milton Jennings and Devin Booker, however, were both highly regarded recruits as freshmen that had so-so first seasons. Part of it was that the two only played limited minutes with Grant and Trevor Booker, but if these two can begin to live up to their potential, this Clemson team could end up being a tournament team.

  7. Maryland: Its could be a tough year for the Terps, coming off of their share of the ACC regular season title. They lose Greivis Vasquez, Eric Hayes, and Landon Milbourne to graduation, which essentially means that the Terps will lose their three best players. All hope is not lost, however. Junior wing Sean Mosley has been quite impressive playing a role in his first two seasons in College Park. Center Jordan Williams, if he can cut some weight and get a bit quicker and more athletic, could develop into one of the better bigs in the ACC. Guard Adrian Bowie, swingman Cliff Tucker, and bigs Dino Gregory and James Padgett have all shown signs of being capable ACC players. If Mosley can develop into a 15 ppg player, Williams continues to improve as a post, and the six Maryland newcomers -- particularly the two point guards, Pe'Shon Howard and Terrell Stoglin -- are ready to compete at the ACC level, Maryland has a shot at getting a bid to the tournament.

  8. Boston College: It was quite a tumultuous off-season for the Eagles. It started with Al Skinner getting fired, and continued with Rakim Sanders transferring to Fairfield, Brady Heslip transferring to Baylor, and with Kevin Noreen backing out of his commitment to the school. The cupboard isn't bare for new head coach Steve Donahue, however. Joe Trapani has developed into one of the better combo-forwards in the ACC, averaging over 14 points 6 boards as a junior. Junior Reggie Jackson is developing into one of the better all-around guards in the ACC, and Corey Raji is a tough, 6'6" senior forward that really gets after it defensively and on the glass. Biko Paris and Dallas Elmore will also see time on the perimeter, but that is not where BC will struggle. There is not much size on this Eagle roster. Josh Southern, who started 25 games last season, is a 6'10" center and Courtney Dunn, who saw action in just 26 games, are really the only post players this team has. This is an experienced group with some talent at the top, but they are not all that deep and will be learning the system of a new coach. An NCAA tournament bid would be a bit of a surprise.

  9. Miami: Miami won 20 games last season, but that number is a bit skewed when you consider 14 of those wins came in non-conference play. With Dwayne Collins and James Dews, their two leading scorers, graduating, its tough to see the 'Canes improving all that much. If they do, it is going to rest on the shoulders of their back court. Durand Scott, who had a solid freshman campaign, and Villanova transfer Malcolm Grant are both very good back court players. 6'6" small forward DeQuan Jones is one of the best athletes in the conference. Adrian Thomas, at 6'7", is a tough, experienced kid that can score and knock down a jumper. Reggie Johnson is a capable center. But when you finish dead last in a power conference, lose your top two scorers, and bring in a recruiting class that doesn't feature a program changer, its tough to expect too much.

  10. Wake Forest: The Demon Deacons will have as much turnover as anyone in the conference. They lose four of their top six scorers, including Al-Farouq Aminu and Ishmael Smith. Head coach Dino Gaudio was fired, replaced by Jeff Bzdelik. To top it off, center Tony Woods was booted from the team after a domestic violence incident. But that doesn't mean that all is lost for Wake this season. Sophomore guards CJ Harris and Ari Stewart both had promising freshman seasons, and have the potential for a breakout sophomore year. Junior big man Ty Walker was a highly touted freshmen that will finally have an opportunity to play extended minutes. Georgetown transfer Nikita Mescheriakov will be eligible to play, joining a very good five-man recruiting class, which includes four four-star recruits. This team is young, and they are inexperienced, but Wake has some talent and potential. I think Wake is a bit of a sleeper this season, but they are a young squad and probably a year away from making the tournament.

  11. Georgia Tech: Paul Hewitt's club is going to have a much different feel to it this season as Derrick Favors, Gani Lawal, and Zach Peacock are all gone. This year's team is going to center around the Yellow Jacket backcourt. Headlining that group is Iman Shumpert, a 6'4" combo guard that has shown flashes of greatness in his two seasons with the Rambling Wreck. But he's also been inconsistent, something that will need to change as he will be counted on to shoulder a much bigger offensive load. Moe Miller, who has seen his numbers drop in each of his three seasons, will be back for his senior year. Hewitt will need Miller to return to the form of his freshman season, when he averaged 8.1 ppg and 3.3 apg. Rounding out the perimeter will be sophomores Mfon Udofia, Brian Oliver, and Glen Rice Jr. as well as freshman Jason Morris, a four-star recruit. Somewhere out of that group, a secondary scorer is going to need to develop. Up front, Tech will be very young, as there are going to essentially be three freshmen -- two redshirt (Kammeon Hosley and Daniel Miller) and one true frosh (Nate Hicks, a former Tulane signee) -- that make up the rotation. It looks like another rebuilding year for Hewitt.

  12. Virginia: The Cavaliers will be an interesting team to keep an eye on this season. After going 5-2 to start ACC play, the Cavs proceeded to lose their last nine games in conference. They also will be without Sylvan Landesberg, their leading scorer who was kicked off the team late in the season. But could it be possible that this club will be better without Landesberg? After he was kicked off the team, Virginia went 1-3. But all three of those losses came to the two conference co-champions. They return Mike Scott, Mustapha Farrakhan, and Will Sherrill and add talented freshman KT Harrell. Sammy Zeglinski had surgery on his knee and his return this season is questionable. Bennett will also bring in his first real recruiting class, which is six players deep. Bennett's roster is not overloaded with talent, but neither were his teams at Washington State. Can Bennett mold this team into one that can compete in the ACC? While I expect another finish near the bottom of the league, I think this could be a team that sneaks up on some people in the ACC.

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Thursday, March 11, 2010

Conference Tournament Preview: The ACC

Where: Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC

When: March 11th-14th

Final: 1:00 pm ESPN/Raycom




Favorite: Duke Blue Devils

Look, I love Maryland's team this season, but Duke is the best team in the conference. There are not many teams in the country, let alone the ACC, than can match the 1-2-3 punch the Devils have in Kyle Singler, Jon Scheyer, and Nolan Smith. Scheyer and Singler are seniors and are/have been all-americans. Nolan Smith will likely be on a number of all-american lists next season. Hate them or love them, you cannot deny those three can hoop.

Nolan Smith could end up being an all-american next season.
(photo credit: XOS Sports)

Beyond that, Duke finally has some good big men. Brian Zoubek has come out of no where to be a force in the paint and on the offensive back boards. The Plumlees are as long and athletic as any Duke team in recent memory. Combine that with the watered down ACC and the tournament being played in North Carolina with UNC struggling, and Duke looks primed to make a run through the ACC.


And if they lose?: Maryland Terrapins

As I mentioned above, I love this Maryland team. Obviously, there's Greivis Vasquez, who has been phenomenal this season. But the Terps are much more than just a flamboyant Venezuelan. Eric Hayes has turned into quite the college player, the steadying force paired with Vasquez in the back court. Hayes is one of the smarter players in the ACC, and has become a knock down shooter. Sean Mosley and Landon Milbourne are undersized, but they are scrappy players that defend and play much bigger than their listed height. Cliff Tucker and Adrian Bowie are capable reserves that have saved the Terps on a couple occasions.

The key for Maryland is going to be the play of Jordan Williams and Dino Gregory, but I will get into that in a bit.


Don't count out/Sleepers: Well, everyone?

Part of the reason the ACC has been as fun to follow as it has this year is that the league is so wide open. Duke is the best, and Maryland isn't far behind, but after that there are five teams that are good enough to make a run to the ACC championship, but may also be in danger of playing their way out of the NCAA Tournament with a poor showing in Greensboro.


Clemson and Florida State are probably the two best in this group. Clemson had a hiccup midway through the conference season when Demontez Stitt injured his ankle, but with the PG healthy, the Tigers are back to full speed. At full speed, they are a tough team to matchup against. Clemson is so athletic and takes advantage of that in their press. When Booker is playing well and their threes are going down, this team can play with anyone.

What Florida State lacks in guard play, they make up for with sheer length, especially along their front line. The Seminoles are going to struggle to score at times as they don't really have any, well, scorers. But this is the best defensive team in the country according to Kenpom, using their length to make it difficult to get a clean look at the rim.


Wake Forest and Georgia Tech are the disappointing teams. Tech has collapsed, as Paul Hewitt teams usually do. There are few front lines better than what Georgia Tech has to offer, and Iman Shumpert is a talent at the point, but something is missing with this team. Be it leadership, be it decision making, and at times I'd even argue that its simply effort, but Georgia Tech just has not been the team many expected them to be. That said, if they can put it all together, who knows what could happen. Tech is in the worst spot in terms of an at-large bid and may want to win two games to feel safe.

Wake Forest is in a bit of the same boat. I can't figure this team out. Ishmael Smith is a player at the point. Al-Farouq Aminu is a lottery pick. They have shooters on the wing and size in the paint. They defend. But they lost four in a row before closing the ACC season with a win over Clemson. It will be interesting to see which Wake team shows up here. The Demon Deacons are probably safe, tournament wise, but may want to avoid a first round loss.

There may not be a better 1-on-1 player in the ACC than Delaney.
(photo credit: BIAH)

Virginia Tech is the x-factor. I don't think anyone has a feel for just how good this team is. Malcolm Delaney is a stud, Jeff Allen and Dorenzo Hudson are capable complimentary players, and they put together some nice wins the last month of the season. The problem is that the Hokies did a bunch of nothing before that, and lost to BC just three weeks ago. Tech should also avoid losing their first game if they want to feel safe next Sunday.

Names you need to know
  • Jordan Williams and Dino Gregory, Maryland: That right there is all Maryland has in terms of big bodies. There are quite a few teams in this conference with big front lines. Both have played well in recent weeks, and it is not a coincidence that Maryland finished the season on a seven game winning streak. When these two play well, Maryland is at their best.

  • Trevor Booker, Clemson: He's arguably the best all around big man in the conference this season. He can play on the perimeter or in the post, he's a 747 when he takes off at the rim, and he plays the point on their press. He is as valuable to his team's success as anyone in the league.

  • Al-Farouq Aminu, Wake Forest: Aminu is as talented as anyone in the conference, but he has a bad habit of disappearing during games. In Wake's 51-47 loss to Florida State, Aminu went scoreless in 28 minutes with just two shot attempts. That can't happen. When he is aggressive, Wake is a different team.

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