Sunday, March 13, 2011

Dancing with the Stars: Boston Terriers

Conference: America East

Record: 21-13, 12-4

Rankings: 170 (KenPom), 168 (Sagarin), 132 (RPI)

Potential Seed: 16

Best Players: John Holland (19.0 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.4 spg), Darryl Partin (14.6 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.5 apg), Jake O'Brien (10.9 ppg, 5.5 rpg)


Big Wins, Bad Losses: To be honest, the Terriers don't have any good wins. If you really need an answer, here you go: they have a neutral court win over George Washington and Nevada, and beat Vermont twice. That's about it. The Terriers do have some bad losses, including a four point loss to UMBC, the #334-ranked team in the country. They also lost to Hartford (#298), New Hampshire (#292) and a 34-point loss to Kentucky.

Tendencies: The Terriers have John Holland, a 2,000-point scorer and the reigning Conference Player of the Year and Tournament MVP. Holland has the ability to score from anywhere inside the arc, and can score against superior talent. But outside of that Boston is pretty inept on offense. they are in the bottom 25% in field goal percentage and assists and they play in one of the country's weaker conferences.

How They Got There: The Terriers were the preseason favorites to win the conference despite bringing in essentially an entire new team to surround Holland. They had a rough time in non-conference play, losing nine of 14 games, although four of those came against tournament-bound teams. The Terriers carried their sub-par play into the conference season, going 5-4 in the month of January. But since the end of January, the Terriers have not lost a game, stringing together 11 wins in a row, including three tournament games.

Outlook: The Terriers have been to the NCAA tournament six times and have a 2-6 record overall. Unfortunately, both of their wins came in 1959, and they haven't been to the tournament since 2002, when they lost to Cincinnati in the first round by 38 points. Likely to be a #16-seed, the outlook does not appear to be good, and by that I mean they are going to lose in the first round, by a lot.

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