Monday, February 7, 2011

Bettin' is a Habit - 2/7

We here at B.I.A.H don't fancy ourselves gamblers, but we do know a lot of people with crippling addictions to gambling. So why not help enable them, right? Semi-regularly, we will provide you a couple of picks and one lead-pipe-lock that you can take to the bank. But if you take our advice and don't win any money, you aren't allowed to come bash our knee-caps in.

The Packers won the Super Bowl, which means that you are probably up big from the Super Bowl. If last night's prop bets didn't satiate your gambling fix, here are a couple of lines that caught our eye.

7:00 pm: Austin Peay @ Tennessee Tech:

Austin Peay jumped out to a 6-0 start in OVC play, but they have lost four of their last seven games. One of those losses came to Tennessee Tech at home. The Golden Eagle's aren't exactly playing their best basketball of the season -- they are coming off of a loss to Morehead State at home -- but they are getting four points at home against a team that has been struggling that they have already beaten this season. Sounds like a good bet to me.

The Pick: Tennessee Tech +4

7:00 pm: No. 4 Pitt @ West Virginia:

Yes, I know that Pitt will be playing without Ashton Gibbs tonight. I also know that this is a rivalry game, and as with any rivalry game, records coming in don't matter. But it still boggles my mind that the Mountaineers are favored tonight, even if it is by just one point. Personally, I wouldn't play this game simply because I want to see what the Panthers look like without Gibbs in the lineup. But West Virginia is coming off of a 16 point loss to Villanova which happened to coincide with Casey Mitchell's return from suspension. The Mountaineers, who are the 292nd best defensive rebounding team in the country, will be forced to handle the nation's best offensive rebounding team. If you are going to bet this game, take the Panthers.

The Pick: Pitt +1

9:00 pm: No. 20 Missouri @ No. 2 Kansas:

Like the Pitt-WVU games, I don't love the line in this one (Kansas -10.5) or the over-under (155). Missouri struggles on the road, having gone 0-4 in conference play, mainly because they have been getting off to slow starts. I don't see that being a problem in the Border Showdown. I think Kansas wins this game, but the spread of 10.5 points seems high, especially when dealing with a Missouri team that is capable of putting up points in a hurry. The over-under is pretty high as well, as 155 means that both teams are going to have to score in the high 70's.

The Picks: Missouri +10.5; Under 155

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