Monday, December 31, 2007

Roy Hibbert - NBA Draft Prospects

Numbers: 13.4 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.9 apg, 2.2 bpg, 1.7 t/o's, 61% FG, 65% FT

About Him: Roy Hibbert has turned himself from a 7'2" stiff to a potential lottery pick in his four years at Georgetown. His offensive repertoire has expanded dramatically. He now has an array of moves he can go to in the post. His bread and butter is his hook shot, which he is automatic with going righty, and very consistent going lefty. He can also hit this shot in a variety of ways - off a drop step, as a sky hook going across the lane, off of a spin move. He is pretty good at establishing position on the block, and when he does uses his bulk to hold the seal well. The rest of his offensive game is solid as well. He has range on his shot to the college three point line (where he was 3-3 this year), he is an excellent passer, and doesn't turn the ball over. His rebounding numbers are low, although the pace at which Georgetown plays at and the fact Hibbert only played 26 mpg factor in here, he still is not very aggressive on the boards and does not dominate them as he should. Defensively, he is very good at playing a big man 1-on-1 in the post. He is strong and has long arms, so he doesn't get pushed around much and can block or change the shot. He can take some charges and is decent at rotating over to block shots, but some of that was hidden in Georgetown's defensive style. The biggest question marks are Hibbert's athleticism (or lack there of) and his conditioning. Although he has toned his body up, he still never played more than 26 mpg at Georgetown, and that was even at a snails pace offensively. He also is not explosive in the paint, rarely dunking the basketball, and is still too slow laterally to get out and defend a pick-and-roll or a more mobile big man.

Comparisons: Zydrunas Ilgauskas (stretch), Joel Pryzbilla

Bottom Line: Hibbert is too slow, too unathletic and too passive to turn into the great NBA player that scouts are going to want him to be. He is a very hard worker, however, and is still young for his age (he turned 21 during his senior year), and given that he improved this much in the last four years, he may not be done developing his game. Someone will probably take a chance on him at the end of the lottery, but he probably isn't much better than a late-first rounder.

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