Friday, August 27, 2010

Friday Morning Dump

- A Karen Sypher beer? Dark, bitter and, what's this? Is that a hint of extortion I detect? 0% Dignity by volume. I love it.

- Villanova loses freshman guard James Bell indefinitely due to stress fracture in both of his legs. Bell was ranked as the 78th-best prospect in the class of 2010. While the injury likely won't be devastating to the Wildcats should Bell miss some time, it is definitely a blow to their depth.

- Austin Rivers gives John Wall a case of the okie-dokes at the Boost Mobile Elite 24 game (at the 1min mark)



- LeBron was playing pick-up hoops with the Miami Hurricanes. Kentucky fans can't be to pleased about this. KU has always been LeBron's official un-official college. Remember how Frank Haith said that LeBron, D-Wade, and Bosh coming to Miami could help him recruit? You think this is what he meant by that?

- When Donnie Jones left Marshall to take the head coaching position at C-USA rival Central Florida, a lot of people scratched their heads. But as Jeff Goodman explains, not only is it not a head-scratcher, going from Marshal to Central Florida is a no-brainer.

- Andy Katz wonders if Mike Rice has what it takes to make Rutgers relevant. For that matter, can anyone actually make Rutgers relevant? My opinion: While they are still in the Big East -- Nope. Not happening.

- Andy Glockner takes a look at BYU's situation this season.

- The Battle of the Bluegrass State with take place on New Years Eve. I'm not sure I like this decision. December 31st is a Friday, and it's New Years Eve. I can't imagine that a lot of people outside of the Bluegrass state will remember to tune into this game. It is a Noon tip off yes, but it's also a Holiday weekend. I can't imagine that too many people will even be sober awake by Noon on New Years Eve. Click here for more on Kentucky's non-conference schedule.

- 6-foot-4 shooting guard Malick Kone, a member of the 2011 recruiting class, has verbally committed to Rutgers. Kone was recruited heavily by David Cox, a former assistant at Georgetown who is now a top assistant at Rutgers. Cox was heavily involved with the DC Assault AAU team, which Kone was a member of.

- A quick look at the full 2010-2011 schedule for the Tennessee Volunteers, Michigan Wolverines, Indiana Hoosiers, Minnesota Golden Gophers, Alabama Crimson Tide

- CollegeHoopsNet has been preview the top 199 teams in the country. Yesterday they featured #125-#121: Bucknell, Davidson, UAB, Morgan State, and Miami (OH)

- Shoes that lace themselves? Sign me up. I don't have the proper eye-hand coordination to do the "loop-swoop-and-pull"

- Texas Tech athletic director Gerald Myers is retiring after 14 years of service. He has dealt with the likes of Bobby Knight and Mike Leach. Those 14 years look more like 28 years if you ask me.

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Thursday, August 26, 2010

Rankings the ESPN Gameday games

Yesterday, the World Wide Leader announced their schedule for college basketball's Gameday. There are a couple changes from last season. For starters, no Pac-10 team is included, likely due to the fact that there are not two good teams in the conference. The Big XII, the Big Ten, and the SEC each got two Gameday games. Also new is an opening hour of Gameday to be aired at 10 am on ESPN U, a decision that I, personally, am a huge fan of. And for the second straight year, Gameday will kick off with a game on the women's side featuring Tennessee and Vanderbilt, although the men's team from both schools will be squaring off in a noon-tip.

Most importantly, ESPN has once again put together a schedule loaded with great basketball in some of the country's best environment including a number of this season's best matchups. Let's rank those eight games:


  1. Jan. 22nd: Michigan State @ Purdue: Not only are the Boilermakers and the Spartans two of the favorites to win the Big Ten title, not only are Robbie Hummel and Kalin Lucas the two favorites to win the Big Ten player of the year title, but these teams are two of the three teams in the country (along with Duke) considered to be favorites to win a national title. Without a doubt, this will be one of the most anticipated games of the year.

  2. Jan 29th: Kansas State @ Kansas: The Jayhawks and the Wildcats are the two favorites to win the Big XII title. Not only that, but these two schools genuinely dislike each other. Jacob Pullen vs. Josh Selby. Marcus Morris vs. the big, athletic front line of Kansas State. A rivalry game at the Phog. There is a lot to like about this game.

  3. Feb. 12th: Pitt @ Villanova: Pitt and Nova are generally considered the two favorites in the Big East. The Panthers will once again be a staunch defensive team that wins on their physicality, while the Wildcats are going to be a young, but talented, squad that likes to play in the open court. These two teams have played some classics of late, including the Reynolds Runner in the 2009 Elite 8.

  4. Feb. 26th: Duke @ Virginia Tech: The Blue Devils are likely going to be the No. 1 team in the country once the preseason polls begin coming out. But Virginia Tech is a very good team in their own right. Led by Malcolm Delaney and the underrated Dorenzo Hudson, most believe that the Hokies are the second best team in the ACC. With this tip coming in the last few weeks of the season, a lot -- including possibly the ACC lead -- will be on the line.

  5. Feb. 19th: Illinois @ Michigan State: Michigan State is a favorite to win the national title, and while the Illini are not quite on that level, they are still good enough to beat anyone in the conference on a given night. Demetri McCamey will be a sleeper for Big Ten player of the year as well, and it should be fun watching him go head-to-head with Kalin Lucas.

  6. Feb. 5th: Kentucky @ Florida: The Gators and the Wildcats are the two favorites in the SEC, especially if Enes Kanter is eligible. Kentucky and Florida have a nice rivalry going, and with the similarity of the two rosters and the fact that both enjoy a spread floor style of play, this will be an entertaining game to watch.

  7. March 5th: Texas @ Baylor: Both the Longhorns and the Bears will have quite a bit of roster turnover this season, and while neither are expected to compete for the Big XII title, both should be tournament teams. Seeing Tristan Thompson and Perry Jones do battle should be entertaining as well.

  8. Jan. 15th: Vanderbilt @ Tennessee: Vandy and Tennessee is last in our rankings, but that is a result of the outstanding games scheduled for Gameday, not a disappointing match-up here. Tennessee will be a tournament team, and Vandy should make a push if John Jenkins can develop. And, most importantly, who can turn down Bruce Pearl in an orange blazer at lunchtime?


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The Only Conference Preview You Need To Read: The Big Ten

Summer officially ends on September 22nd, but for me, the end of summer always coincided with the end of August. Or when I had to go to school. (That first day was always the worst, wasn't it?) Anyway, school is right around the corner, which means that college basketball season is around the corner, down the street, through two lights, and on the left. Since we've all had a fight with our GPS at one time or another, we at BIAH will take this week to roll out our way-too-early, all-encompassing conference previews.

To browse through the other conferences, click here.



Pre-season Awards

Player of the Year: Jon Leuer, Wisconsin

The Big Ten will have one of the most exciting player of the year races. Even with Robbie Hummel's season over, there is a ton of talent at the top of the league. Included in that group is Jon Leuer, one of the most underrated players in the country. He was the Badgers leading scorer and rebounder last season despite missing nine games with a broken wrist. He's got a good finesse game in the post, using a variety of jump hooks and turnarounds. He also has a soft touch on his jump shot and is a capable ball handler, which makes him a difficult matchup at times. He impressed people quite a bit at the Team USA workouts over the summer, and with Trevon Hughes gone to graduation, expect a big season out of Leuer.

And a close second goes to: Kalin Lucas, Michigan State

Lucas is a great player as well. In fact, he's already won a Big Ten player of the year award, taking home the hardware in 2009. When he's healthy, he's as quick as anyone in the league with the ball, a pain to keep out of the paint, and a very good shooter with a knack for hitting some big-time shots. I have two concerns about Lucas. He's still working his way back from the achilles injury that ended his 2010 NCAA Tournament, so only time will tell if he is actually back to 100%. I also was concerned by his lack of development last season. Lucas was benched because of a lack of leadership and didn't really improve all that much as a junior. But this is Lucas' team. He's the star, and when he embraces that, he has the talent to carry this team to another Final Four.

Breakout Star: Jordan Taylor, Wisconsin

Its tough to pick out a breakout star from the Big Ten because, well, we already know who most of the best players are. One guy stands out for me, however. Taylor moved into the starting lineup as a sophomore and had a very successful season (10 points, 3.5 assists) playing alongside Trevon Hughes. Taylor is a better distributor than Hughes was, and Hughes also had a tendency to dominate the ball. This season, as the sole ball-handler, Taylor is going to be relied upon much more as a playmaker, especially considering the lack of offensive firepower on this Wisconsin roster. I don't think its out of the question for him to develop into a second- or third-team all-conference performer.

All-Conference First Team

  • POY - Jon Leuer, Wisconsin, Sr.
  • G - Kalin Lucas, Michigan State, Sr.
  • G - E'Twaun Moore, Purdue, Sr.
  • G - Demetri McCamey, Illinois, Sr.
  • F - Jared Sullinger, Ohio State, Fr.
  • F - JaJuan Johnson, Purdue, Sr.
All-Conference Second Team
  • G - Maurice Creek, Indiana, So.
  • G - Durrell Summers, Michigan State, Sr.
  • G - Talor Battle, Penn State, Sr.
  • F - John Shurna, Northwestern, Jr.
  • F - Mike Davis, Illinois, Sr.
Freshman of the Year: Jared Sullinger, Ohio State

Sullinger is universely regarded as the best big man in the class. At 6'8", 250+ lb, he's got the size and the strength to play immediately in the Big Ten. He's not just big, either. He's skilled. He can score on the low-block, he can get to the rim facing up, and he has range out to 18 feet. He is also a very cerebral player. Sullinger understands angles -- sealing his man when the ball gets reversed, holding position defensively and offensively, boxing out -- which lets him get a lot of easy baskets and a ton of rebounds. He's a producer on the block, and should complement the shot-blocking presence of Dallas Lauderdale well. The Buckeyes are going to need someone to be a go-to presence for them with Evan Turner gone, and Sullinger could be that guy.


All-Freshman Team
  • G - Keith Appling, Michigan State
  • G - Tim Hardaway, Jr., Michigan
  • G - Taran Buie, Penn State
  • F - Jereme Richmond, Illinois
  • F - DeShaun Thomas, Ohio State

What Happened?:
  • Expansion: Everybody welcome Nebraska to the Big Ten! Well, next year anyway. And despite the rumors to the contrary, that is all the Big Ten added. For now.

  • Robbie Hummel: Breaks your heart.

  • Tom Izzo and his rumor mill: First it was the Cavs. He was staying, then he was going, and now he's staying. Good decision, thanks to The Decision.

    Then there was Chris Allen. He was suspended for the Big Ten tournament last season, then throughout the summer his name was coming up in rumors. He would play. He wasn't going to play. Finally last month, Izzo ended the drama, saying that Allen failed to live up to his obligations.

    Oh, and if that wasn't enough, two Michigan State players were accused of a sexual assault on the same night that Korie Lucious got a DUI.

  • It wasn't just Chris Allen: Allen isn't the only player that won't be returning next season. Laval Lucas-Perry was dismissed from Michigan for the dreaded "violation of team rules."

    Northwestern got a blow when Kevin Coble, a second-team all-conference performer in 2009, decided he was not going to return to the basketball team, instead focusing his efforts on his last semester of classes.

    And then there is Zisis Sarikopoulos, who has scored all of 48 points in his collegiate career, who signed a three-year contract in Greece.

    Iowa not only lost Anthony Tucker, who was suspended for an arrest and then transferred to D-II Winona State, they lost head coach Todd Lickliter. He was replaced by Siena's Fran McCaffery.

  • Trevor Mbakwe is cleared, legally: Well, not exactly. He agreed to skip trial in exchange for completing a six-month intervention program. Everything will be erased from his record when he pays $100 fine and does 100 hours of community service. It also means that Minnesota has cleared him to play, which is great news for Tubby Smith and the Golden Gophers.

What's Next?:
  • Is this the year for Northwestern?: The Wildcats are the only major conference team that has never played in the NCAA Tournament. Ever. And this season may just be their best shot. I know we have said that over and over the last two years, but with the players they have returning, a good non-conference season and a couple of wins over the top of the Big Ten, and they are dancing.

  • Three in a row?: Everyone knows that Michigan State has been to back-to-back Final Fours. This year? They are one of the favorites to win the national title. Can they make it three straight Final Fours? Do they end up winning a title during that stretch?

  • Is expansion over?: Most believed that the Big Ten wanted to get to 16 teams this summer, and there are some that still believe that is the case. Does it happen next summer? Will the Big East and the Big XII survive it?


Power Rankings
  1. Purdue: Purdue was originally considered the favorite to win the Big Ten title. That was before Robbie Hummel blew out his knee. Quite a few people have dropped the Boilermakers in their preseason polls, which isn't necessarily fair. This is still the same basic team that made the Sweet 16 last season. This Purdue team still has two all-americans in E'Twaun Moore and JaJuan Johnson. The Boilermakers still have role players. Lewis Jackson is a quick point guard who was dealing with a foot injury last season but is back healthy. Kelsey Barlow was the guy that played the point guard role in his stead and did an admirable job. He's a big, strong kid that can defend and get to the rim. Jon Hart, Ryne Smith, DJ Byrd, and Patrick Bade also return, and Croatian big man Sandi Marcius should finally be ready to play. Throw in the mix four talented freshmen, particularly four-star guards Terone Johnson and Anthony Johnson, and you got yourself a very good basketball team. Don't count this team out.

  2. Michigan State: The Spartans once again looks like a team capable of making a run to, and through, the Final Four. While Raymar Morgan, and now Chris Allen, are both gone, the core of this team returns. Kalin Lucas, the 2009 Big Ten player of the year, should be back to 100% after blowing out his achilles in last year's NCAA Tournament. Who knows how quickly he can return to his peak, but there is the talent on this roster to allow him to ease into being a star again. Durrell Summers has loads of talent -- 6'4", athletic, range on his jumper -- and had a coming out party in the tournament last season. Korie Lucious has been inconsistent throughout his first two seasons but definitely has shown flashes of being an impact player in the back court. Many also believe that Keith Appling has the ability to make Spartan fans forget about Allen. Up front is a bit of a question mark. Draymond Green, the versatile 6'6" power forward, is back, as is Delvon Roe, a super-talented but oft-injured 6'8" power forward. Hefty sophomore Derrick Nix returns, and Adreian Payne, a top 20 forward, will also be in the mix. Expect the Spartans to contend for both the Big Ten and national titles.

  3. Illinois: The Fighting Illini have a shot at being very, very good this year. It starts with Demetri McCamey, a stocky point guard that averaged 15 points and 7 assists last season. McCamey is one of the better playmakers in the country, and while he still turns the ball over a bit much and has a tendency to dominate possession, his ability to create open looks for his teammates is crucial. Also returning are DJ Richardson and Brandon Paul, two talented freshman that had up and down seasons. The front line of Mike Tisdale and Mike Davis is back, as well. The roster, which loses some key role players like Jeffery Jordan and Dominque Keller, will be bolstered by another excellent recruiting class. Shooting guard Crandall Head, forward Jereme Richmond, and seven-footer Meyers Leonard are all four-star recruits that will be able to contribute immediately. As I see it, the issue with this Illini team isn't necessarily talent. There are a lot of very good basketball players on this roster, and with a guy like McCamey on the floor -- especially when there are four guys around him that can shoot -- getting good shots probably won't be the issue. The problem is interior toughness. Neither Tisdale or Davis are real bruisers or physical rebounders/defenders. Leonard is all of 225lb. That could spell trouble playing in a Big Ten with the likes of Michigan State and Ohio State.

  4. Ohio State: The Buckeyes lost Evan Turner to the draft, but as Thad Matta is wont to do, he simply reloaded. Again. The talk about this team is going to be the freshman class. Headlined by 6'8" bruiser Jared Sullinger and 6'6" scoring forward DeShaun Thomas, this group is six deep, with all six receiving at least three stars from Rivals. The front court isn't just freshmen, as Dallas Lauderdale returns to protect the rim and Nikola Kecman is back to provide a little bit of depth. In the back court, David Lighty, William Buford, and Jon Diebler all return. The question, obviously, is at the point. Turner wasn't valuable just because he could score and get rebounds and play the point at 6'7", it was because he made everyone on the floor that much better. Will Diebler and Buford get as many open looks without Turner? Does Lighty get the same amount of space to operate? Obviously, having a big man on the block like Sullinger will help space things, but without a facilitator stepping up (Aaron Creft is the only PG recruit, but Lenzelle Smith and Jordan Sibert are talented back court players) I have concerns about how well this team will run offensively. The Buckeyes are going to be a different product on the court this season, but they will still be at the top of the Big Ten when it is all said and done.

  5. Wisconsin: It doesn't seem to ever matter who the Badgers lose. They always come back the exact same team the next season. Bo Ryan's back court of Jason Bohannon and Trevon Hughes has graduated, but don't expect the Badgers to be down this season. Junior Jordan Taylor, who looked quite impressive in his minutes playing behind Hughes, is back, as is sophomore Ryan Evans, who isn't the shooter that Bohannon was, but who is bigger, stronger, and a better defender. Returning up front will be Jon Leuer, who could very well be the best big man in the Big Ten this year, and Keaton Nankivil, who showed flashes of brilliance last season. Both are big and both are dangerous in the post and on the perimeter. Take those four, and fill in the blanks with Ryan's never-ending string of tough, defensive-minded kids, and the Badgers will once again compete atop this conference. Because Ryan is one of the few coaches that always recruits for his system, not based on top 100 lists, his teams are always underrated. A warning to all those in the Big Ten -- Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois, and Ohio State are all loaded this season, but sleep on Wisconsin at your own risk.

  6. Northwestern: The Wildcats caught a bad break when Kevin Coble decided he wasn't going to return for his final season with Northwestern. But that doesn't mean that the Wildcats are dead in the water. Northwestern brings back five of their top six scorers from a team that won 20 games and was in bubble consideration until the end of February. One of those five is John Shurna, a combo-forward that averaged 18 and 6 in Coble's stead. They also bring back Michael Thompson, one of the most underrated guards in the conference. Drew Crawford was selected as the Big Ten freshman of the year. Luka Mirkovic and Alex Marcotullio also return, while freshman JerShon Cobb, a top 100 recruit, should be able to fill in Jeremy Nash's shoes. This is the same Northwestern team, just a year older. Why can't they compete this year? Northwestern has never made an NCAA Tournament. Could that change this season?

  7. Minnesota: I like the squad Minnesota has this season. True, they lose Damian Johnson, Lawrence Westbrook, Paul Carter, and the chance to use Royce White. But the Gophers were deep last season, which means that they are going to be able to handle some of that loss. Their strength is going to be up front, where Colton Iverson and Ralph Sampson both return at the center. While those two could, feasibly, play alongside one another, the addition of Trevor Mbakwe will be key. A physical, 6'7" forward, Mbakwe would be a nice complement to Smith's other bigs. Shooter Blake Hoffarber also returns, as does Rodney Williams, an athletic 6'7" slasher that has the potential to be a weapon in this league. Al Nolen and Devoe Joseph will once again be handling the back court duties. And with six newcomers, Tubby Smith has a lot of pieces here. Minnesota isn't going to win the Big Ten, but a tournament berth isn't out of the question.

  8. Indiana: Tom Crean brought in a very good recruiting class in 2009, and while it didn't do much for the Hoosiers last season, the dividends will begin to be paid this season. Maurice Creek, a guard that dislocated his knee back in December, and big man Christian Watford were as good as any two freshmen in the conference last season. Throw in rising juniors Verdell Jones and Tom Pritchard and senior-to-be Jeremiah Rivers, and the Hoosiers have themselves a pretty solid core to build around. An NCAA Tournament berth would be a borderline miracle, and even a .500 record in this conference this season would be impressive, but this team isn't going to be a pushover. The Hoosiers are going to win some games and they are going to put a scare into some of the better teams. They aren't there yet, but Crean is getting this team close.

  9. Penn State: Looking strictly at their record, the Nittany Lions were not a good basketball team last season. In fact, they were down right bad. Going 11-20 on the season and 3-15 in Big Ten play (they lost their first 12) is not ideal. That said, this club lost some close games. By three at Temple; two against Virginia Tech; OT at Wisconsin; one at Illinois, two at Michigan State; four against Purdue. The list goes on from there. Ed Dechellis' team didn't win many games, but they weren't blown out that often either. In other words, last year's club was probably tougher than their record indicates, and they bring back essentially the same roster, headlined by all-Big Ten point guard Talor Battle. Battle is a stat sheet stuffer, at times by necessity as much as talent, but he certainly can put points on the board, whether scoring or finding assists. With solid players like David Jackson, Andrew Jones, and Jeff Brooks returning along the front line, Tim Frazier back for his sophomore campaign, and two solid freshmen -- point guard Taran Buie (Battle's half-brother) and big man Jonathon Graham -- the Nittany Lions have a team that should be competitive. Given how strong the Big Ten is this year, a .500 finish would be quite impressive. That said, Penn State won't be a pushover, and could very well spring a few upsets.

  10. Michigan: When John Beilein was hired at Michigan, many expected him to orchestrate a turnaround like he did at West Virginia previously. After reaching the 2009 NCAA Tournament, most thought the Wolverines to be a top 25 club last year. But that fell apart, and then so did Beilein's roster. Manny Harris, DeShawn Sims, and Laval Lucas-Perry are all gone. So where is Michigan headed. There are just four returners that saw playing time -- Stu Douglass, Zak Novak, Darius Morris, and Matt Vogrich. They aren't bringing in much, either. Evan Smotrycz, a 6'8" small forward from New Hampshire, is a top 100 recruit. Jordan Morgan is a three-star center, but he is undergoing surgery on his left knee. None of Blake McLimans, Tim Hardaway, and Jon Horford cracked Rivals top 150. On paper, this looks like a team destined for a rebuilding year. But keep in mind, this is the kind of team that Beilein succeeds with. A bunch of scrappy underachievers willing to buy into Beilein's system. I'm not saying that Michigan fans should be penciling in a Big Ten title. Far from it. All I'm saying is that maybe the loss of Sims, Harris, and Lucas-Perry will be addition by subtraction. While a .500 season would probably be considered an overachievement in 2010-11, don't write this group off just yet. Remember, Beilein has a tendency for turning teams around.

  11. Iowa: It is going to be another long season for Hawkeye fans. Todd Lickliter was fired after a 10-22 season, and with only six players returning, Fran McCaffery is going to have his work cut out for him. He gets back a solid trio of guards with Cully Payne, Matt Gaetens, and Eric May, and with four three-star recruits (according to Rivals) coming in, this isn't a bare cupboard. But it certainly isn't full, and with the amount of quality basketball teams in this conference next season, matching last year's total of four Big Ten wins would probably be considered a good season, comparatively.


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REPORT: BYU to stay in the MWC

Remember Expansionocalypse?

Remember how everyone thought that the Big XII as we knew it was dead?

Remember how Realignment 1.0 ended up being relatively minor, with Nebraska, Colorado, and Utah being the only schools that made a switch?

Well, if the Denver Post is to be believed, then Realignment 2.0 looks like it is going to end with a similar whimper. It seems as if the Mountain West's decision to gobble up Fresno State and Nevada from the WAC, provided they offer BYU some concessions when it comes to airing games on BYU-TV, has saved the league by keeping the Cougars happy.

Now, take that report with a grain of salt. The writers that cover BYU seem less optimistic about BYU's chances of staying in the MWC.

Someone needs to make a decision already.

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Thursday Morning Dump

- BREAKING NEWS: According to a report in the Denver Post (h/t Beyond the Arc) BYU is going to stay in the MWC. We will have more on this shortly.

- Today's must read: Jay Bilas. Its insider, I'm sorry (No I'm not), but its great stuff debunking the myth of Ben Howland and the NBA.

- ESPN announces it's schedule for Saturday Gameday. I'm most certainly looking forward to February 26th, when Duke travels to Blacksburg to take on VaTech. The atmosphere is going to be electric. But then again, so will the atmosphere at Kansas State/Kansas game, the Kentucky/Florida game, and the Pittsburgh/Villanova game.

- Speaking of the World Wide Leader, the ESPN "Summer Shoot-a-round" series focused on the Big East yesterday. Jay Bilas predicts Pitt to be the top team in the league, followed closely by Villanova, Syracuse and Georgetown. The Big East has had some serious turnover in the past two seasons, and a handful of teams will feature younger, more inexperienced squads. When you play in a 16-team mega-conference, experience will win you games, and that's exactly what Jamie Dixon's squad has. He doesn't have a bunch of superstars, but what he does have are a couple of gamers, and that's exactly what you need in order to survive the Big East.

- Everyone knows about how loaded John Calipari's 2011 recruiting class is, but Rick Pitino hasn't done a bad job over in Louisville -- even with Marquis Teague and Michael Chandler opting out of their commitments. Things would get even prettier if Quincy Miller and Deuce Bello both ended up Cardinals. According to Adam Zagoria, that could be a reality.

- Gary Parrish has nothing but rave reviews on the Florida Coaching Clinic. As Parrish states, this was no recruiting camp. This was a two-day exchange of knowledge from one basketball junkie to another. You really get the sense that this is what the coaches love doing, and they are getting less and less opportunities to do so. Seriously, this is a must-read.

- Morehead State has been placed on probation by the NCAA due to recruiting violations.

- The Big East released it's schedule for repeat opponents. Villanova will play Syracuse and Pittsburgh twice (along with Rutgers), Pitt will play 'Nova, West Virginia and South Florida twice. This link is definitely worth your click, and your subsequent five minutes of perusal.

- Yesterday we wrote an article about how Taylor King does more college-hopping than Tommy Amaker, and lo-and-behold, King has done it again. As of Wednesday afternoon, King has decided not to attend USC (Which would have cost him $50K and made him sit out a year). Instead, he will enroll at NAIA juggernaut, Concordia University. (Actually, I have no idea if Concordia is a juggernaut. I know nothing about the school, other than it sounds like a type of grape juice.)

- Marcus Jordan explains the makin' it rain tweets.

- Want to know who is going to be good this year? Look at the number of returning minutes for each team. At least that's what Villanova By The Numbers says. I hate Villanova, and I hate math, but for some reason, I feel like they might be on to something. I know it's a couple days old, but it took me a while to digest it all. Again, I hate math.

- Joe Pasternack has the toughest recruiting job in the country. The head coach at New Orleans lost just about everyone when his team was downgraded from D-I to D-III. In any economy, convincing talented high-schoolers to pay-to-play is a tough job.

- College Basketball Daily is doing a great series on introducing us to new head coaches. Today we get to learn more about Howard University's new coach, Kevin Nickelberry.

- On Tuesday we dropped a link stating that Kentucky-recruit DeAndre Daniels would be spending a year at prep school instead of heading directly to Lenxington. But apparently this might not be the case. As with everything Kentucky-related, it's still up in the air.

- Eamonn Brennan continues his best case/worst case scenario column. This time he focuses on the Big East. Does having all 16 teams in the conference tournament constitute as "worst case scenario"?

- a good-read from the Baltimore Sun on Syracuse freshman C.J. Fair, who passed up his senior year

- Adam Zagoria reports that highly-touted recruit LeBron LeBryan Nash will announce his college decision on October 21st live on ESPN. He will be choosing between Oklahoma State, Baylor and Kansas. It should be noted that he is the half-brother of former Cowboy star Byron Eaton.

- Iowa State assistant Jeff Grayer is leaving in order to return to Michigan to be closer to his family

- Michigan lost another game in Belgium, sending their exhibition record to 0-3. Somebody get World Wide Wes on a red-eye to Brussels ASAP. There is clearly something we don't about Belgian basketball. Or maybe Michigan just isn't that good.


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Am I the only one that doesn't agree with HSAC's findings?

Late last night, the guys over at the Harvard Sports Analysis Collective posted a study they put together on one of college basketball's most controversial strategies: whether or not to foul when up three late in the game.

The results they found are quite interesting. Essentially, the study says that there is no discernible difference in winning percentage for teams that foul up three and for those that decide to play defense. In fact, teams that fouled had a lower winning percentage than teams that opted to rely on their defense during the 2009-2010 season. (I strongly urge you to read the study, especially those of you that are mathematically inclined.)

Jordan Crawford thinks you should foul up three.
(photo credit: MassLive)

These days, the general consensus -- correct or not -- has seemingly swayed towards fouling. Don't give your opponent a chance to tie the game with one shot. Force them to get an offensive rebound off of a free throw and score on a putback. The study debunks that line of thinking.

Like any study involving sport, the decision is not as cut-and-dry as numbers are. There are plenty of factors that go into a decision like this. Does the other team have any three-point shooters? How disciplined is your team defensively? Do they understand that they can't foul a player in the act of shooting a three? Who is home and who is away? How good are their free throw shooters? Do you have confidence in your team being able to make two free throws should the situation arise?

The biggest question, however, is how much time if left in the game.

And unfortunately, the HSAC didn't factor in for time left on the clock in their study. The only mention of time left is in one of the comments on the post, and it says that the author believes that most of occur with less than 20 seconds left.

The way I see it, this skews their results.

Let me explain.

Fouling when you are up three is only a valid course of action in a very specific situation. The ideal is when there is somewhere between three and eight seconds left in the game when your opponent has possession, down three points.

If there is much more than eight ticks left, then ratcheting down for one defensive possession is probably the best option for every team. Let's say you are the coach of the team up three with 12 seconds, and you decide to foul. (When a coach makes the decision to foul when up three, more often than not it happens within a second or two of the ball being inbounded to avoid the possibility of the player with the ball being able to draw a foul in the act of shooting a three.) If the other team hits both free throws, they are going to have time to foul you and force you to make two free throws. If your guys hit both, then you are right back into the same situation. Miss one, and your opponent has the ball down just one or two points. If you foul and the other team hits the first and misses the second (or if they miss both/the front end of a one-and-one), then there will be enough time for an offensive possession should they grab an offensive rebound. The best option is to play tough defense and hope that you force a miss.

With fewer than three seconds left, the odds of your opponent getting a good look at a three -- especially when they have to go the length of the court -- is minimal. In this situation, the best strategy usually is to play a soft full court defense, force your opponent to catch the ball in the back court without a head of steam, and hope that they miss a very low-percentage three, usually of the 50-foot runner variety.

Mario agrees with Jordan.
(photo credit: NBC)

That means that the only time where it makes sense for a team to foul is when they are up three in that four-to-eight second range. When there is enough time on the clock that your opponent can get a decent shot at a game-tying three, but not enough time for multiple ensuing possessions. (In other words, there is only enough time left for the opponent to try and get an offensive rebound off of an intentionally missed free throw.)

Now, based on the study and what the authors mentioned in the comments section, they had no way of determining how much time was left on the clock when the possession began. (The time when the possession begins is the only time that matters. You don't intentionally foul at the five second mark after playing 15 seconds of defense.) Without determining this variable, the authors are including a number of data points where intentionally fouling is not only sub-optimal, it isn't even a consideration.

I don't know the lingo for statistics, but they are analyzing the wrong stuff.

That said, I don't want to do anything to discredit this study. It is very interesting work, and certainly is a great piece of information when, undoubtedly, this situation arises during the upcoming season. And I hope that the guys over at HSAC can figure out a way to factor in time, because I would love to see the results. (Hint, hint!!)

If anything, what you should take out of this piece is that regardless of strategy, your team shouldn't lose a game up three on a final possession.

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Wednesday, August 25, 2010

The Only Conference Preview You Need To Read: The Big XII

Summer officially ends on September 22nd, but for me, the end of summer always coincided with the end of August. Or when I had to go to school. (That first day was always the worst, wasn't it?) Anyway, school is right around the corner, which means that college basketball season is around the corner, down the street, through two lights, and on the left. Since we've all had a fight with our GPS at one time or another, we at BIAH will take this week to roll out our way-too-early, all-encompassing conference previews.

To browse through the other conferences, click here.



Pre-season Awards

Player of the Year: Jacob Pullen, Kansas State

I remember watching Pullen play as a freshman and sophomore, and I can honestly say I never thought he would develop into the player he did as a junior. Coming into last season, the guy everyone was talking about in the K-State back court was the dynamic Denis Clemente, but after some impressive performances in high-profile non-conference wins, Pullen (deservedly) developed the reputation of a big-time shooter and scorer. With Clemente gone, Pullen will be the focal point of a Kansas State team that doesn't have a ton of offensive options, especially in the back court. This is still a very good team -- they are big, long, athletic, and will defend and rebound as well as anyone in the country -- but at the end of a game or the shot clock, the ball is almost assuredly going to be in Pullen's hands. He's going to get plenty of opportunity to put up points this year, and if he can improve his ability to distribute the ball -- he will command a lot of attention defensively -- I don't see why he can't be a 20+ppg scorer and average 4 assists. If you put up those numbers for the conference favorite, you deserve player of the year consideration.


And a close second goes to: LaceDarius Dunn, Baylor

Dunn is in a similar situation to Pullen. His talented back court mate -- Tweety Carter -- is gone, which means that he is going to have to carry even more of the offensive load. It isn't necessarily a bad thing, either, as Dunn is one of the best shooters in the country. I think Dunn has a chance to be conference player of the year and a first team all-american, but Pullen got the nod because Dunn plays off the ball. Where Pullen is more of a point guard and has the ability to create for himself off the dribble, Dunn is more of an off-guard, a catch-and-shoot kind of guy. I worry that a lot of his success this season will be determined by the development of AJ Walton as a point guard. Dunn's placement here is with the assumption that he will not miss an extended amount of time for the alleged assault against his girlfriend.

Breakout Star: Marcus Morris, Kansas, and Jordan Hamilton, Texas

The Big XII has a number of kids that I think are capable of having a breakout year -- AJ Walton, BJ Holmes, David Loubeau, Michael Dixon, Ray Penn, Christian Standhardinger. But Morris and Hamilton are the two kids that I think are all-but-guarantees for a big season. Morris showed flashes of brilliance as a sophomore, starting at the four and becoming the Jayhawks most reliable offensive option in the post. With the amount of talent that Kansas is losing, Morris is the guy that will be counted on to pick up the slack. After seeing how much he improved after putting on some strength between his freshman and sophomore campaigns, I see no reason that he isn't first-team all-conference, and possibly even an all-american, this year.

Hamilton is a bit of a different story. A consensus top 10 recruit last year, he spent last season as the Longhorns hired gun off the bench. The problem is that Hamilton has yet to develop a sense of shot selection. As a freshman, if he touched the ball, more than likely a shot was going up. When he was on, he was a nightmare for opponents (ask Oklahoma State), but when he was missing he really hurt Texas. There's not a doubt in my mind that this kid can be a lethal scorer in the Big XII, but only when he develops a better sense of what is a good shot. (Although, it should be noted that as he gets better and becomes a bigger part of the Texas offense, the standard of what is a "good shot" for him will become more lax.) Generally speaking, the biggest improvement tends to come between a player's freshman and sophomore years. I think Hamilton can make the jump.

All-Conference First Team

  • POY- Jacob Pullen, Kansas State, Sr.
  • G - LaceDarius Dunn, Baylor, Sr.
  • G - Cory Higgins, Colorado, Sr.
  • G - Kim English, Missouri, Jr.
  • F - Alec Burks, Colorado, So.
  • F - Marcus Morris, Kansas, Jr.
All-Conference Second Team
  • G - Tyshawn Taylor, Kansas, Jr.
  • G - Jordan Hamilton, Texas, So.
  • G - John Roberson, Texas Tech, Sr.
  • F - Jamar Samuels, Kansas State, Jr.
  • F - Quincy Acy, Baylor, Jr.
Freshman of the Year: Josh Selby, Kansas

This is kind of awkward because Selby has yet to be cleared by the NCAA. If he does end up getting cleared, Selby -- the No. 1 recruit in the country according to Rivals -- should make an immediate impact. Selby plays a similar brand of basketball as former Jayhawk point guard Sherron Collins. He's a scorer that can beat his man off the dribble, knock down a contested 25 footer, and is capable of creating for teammates in the lane. But where Collins was built like a running back, Selby is built like a basketball player -- 6'3", long arms, excellent athleticism. There is going to be quite a bit of returning talent in the back court, but if Selby lives up to the hype, he will be the creator for Bill Self's club.


All-Freshman Team
  • G - Phil Pressey, Missouri
  • G - Cory Joseph, Texas
  • F - Cameron Clark, Oklahoma
  • F - Perry Jones, Baylor
  • F - Tristan Thompson, Texas
What Happened?:
  • Expansion: Yeah, yeah, yeah. We all know already. Nebraska left. Colorado left. We thought the world was going to end, but the world didn't end. That enough summary? It is for me.

  • Texas A&M's rough summer: First, the Aggies lost their star recruit Tobi Oyedeji, a 6'9" kid out of Bellaire, TX, who tragically passed away when he crashed his car on Prom Night. Nowhere near as tragic, but still depressing is that Derrick Roland, who snapped his leg just about in half last season, was denied an extra year of eligibility, ending his collegiate career.

  • Scandals galore: Missouri's prize recruit, Tony Mitchell, looks like a long shot to be on the Tiger roster this season after he wasn't allowed to graduate from high school. The reasons are plenty, including unexplained absences, questionable test results, and the fact he attended a school accredited as a home school his first three years. Mitchell has been ruled ineligible for the first semester already.

    He's not the only star recruit that has yet to be cleared. Josh Selby, a consensus top five recruit from Baltimore, has not been cleared by the NCAA due to a relationship he has with Carmelo Anthony's agent. It is not clear whether that agent is acting as an advisor or he has an agreement with Selby to become his agent, but one thing that is clear is basketball players from Baltimore stick together. Its very possible that this agent is doing nothing but help this family work through a complicated process. But Selby was also spotted driving a white benz. So who knows.

    Oklahoma also had a controversy in their program. Freshman Tiny Gallon was alleged to have been given $3,000 by a financial advisor, which likely played a role in his decision to leave Norman after one season. Then Tommy Mason-Griffin and Willie Warren, neither of whom did anything impressive last year, both hit the road as well. Between transfers and graduation, Capel is left with ... well ... a lot of youngsters.

    And how can we forget about LaceDarius Dunn. The potential all-american broke his girlfriend's jaw. His suspension hasn't been announced just yet, but he is back in school and allowed to practice with the team.

  • Jacob Pullen's beard...: He's keepin' it, y'all.

  • The Canadian-Texan pipeline: Tristan Thompson and Cory Joseph are both top 25 recruits this season. They are also both Canadian. Myck Kabongo will be joining them at Texas next season after a two day decommitment. There is some talent north of the border, and while it is a different border than we are generally talking about when dealing with Texas, I don't think Longhorns fans will have a problem with this kind of immigration.

  • Coaching changes: Believe it or not, no head coaches were fired from Big XII schools this off-season. There were two changes, however. Jeff Bzdelik took off for the opening at Wake Forest when Dino Gaudio was fired, replaced by Northern Colorado's Tad Boyle.

    Greg McDermott left Iowa State to head back to the MVC and coach Creighton. He was replaced by local hero, Fred Hoiberg, who will have his work cut out for him with all the players that left and the floods that hit Iowa in August.

  • Royce White lands: The troubled youngster who went to Minnesota before dropping out -- he never stepped on court after getting in trouble a couple of time for shoplifting and possibly stealing a laptop -- ended up at Iowa State. No word on whether he will be able to suit up this season.

  • Nick Sidorakis is a stand-up guy: Enough with the depressing stories already. Give this piece on the Oklahoma State senior a read, who gave up his scholarship for a teammate.
What's Next?:
  • The Big X: So Nebraska and Colorado are both leaving the conference before the start of next season. After all that the teams in the league had to do to keep from disintegrating, the question now becomes how long will it last? Is this a temporary peace treaty, one that lasts until the season is over and everyone gets to arguing about television dollars and inequitable payouts? Will Texas A&M jump ship to the SEC? Will the Pac-10 get the four other teams that they wanted originally?

  • This conference is good: The talent level is this league is ridiculous. There are nine schools that have a legitimate chance at making the NCAA Tournament. Depending on how some freshman pan out and the development of some bench players, there could be four, maybe five, teams capable of making a deep tournament run. Would anyone be shocked to see three players -- Pullen, Dunn, and Morris -- make first team all-american? This season will be a lot of fun to follow in the Big XII.


Power Rankings
  1. Kansas State: The Wildcats have a lot of talent on their roster, enough to win the Big XII and likely spend the year in the top ten. It starts with Jacob Pullen, who will be one of the early favorites for Big XII player of the year and a potential first team all-american. We all know about Pullen -- a big time scorer and shotmaker -- that has really developed in his four years in Manhattan. Frank Martin's club is also going to be loaded up front again. With a rotation of Curtis Kelly, Jamar Samuels, Wally Judge, Jordan Henriquez-Roberts, and Florida International transfer Freddy Asprilla, K-State has one of the biggest, most athletic front lines in the country. Make sure you box the Wildcats out this year. The biggest question mark for K-State is going to be where Pullen gets his back court help from. Denis Clemente graduated and Dominique Sutton transferred out, leaving quite a bit of inexperience behind -- three sophomores, three freshman, and one transfer. Someone from this group is going to need to step up and become a guy that can defend and knock down open jumpers. Rodney McGruder is a 6'4" sophomore off-guard that hit 18-43 threes in limited minutes last year. Martavious Irving and Juevol Myles are point guards that could allow Pullen to play off the all. And keep an eye on freshman Nino Williams, a Kansas native that was a top 100 recruit in 2011 before enrolling early.

  2. Kansas: The Jayhawks won't be as loaded as they have been the past two seasons. That's what tends to happen when you lose players like Sherron Collins, Cole Aldrich, and Xavier Henry. The good news for the Jayhawks? They actually return everyone else from a team that had as much talent top to bottom as anyone in the country. The Morris twins will be back on the front line, and its not a stretch to think that Marcus could end up being a first team all-american. Thomas Robinson and Jeff Withey, two talented freshmen that didn't see many minutes last season, should also thrive in expanded roles. The back court will, once again, be loaded for Kansas. Josh Selby, if he gets eligible, should be an adequate replacement for Collins as a playmaker at the point. If he isn't, Tyshawn Taylor also returns and should be expected to play an expanded role this year as well. Brady Morningstar and Tyrell Reed will be back to play their roles, and don't be surprised if Travis Releford or Elijah Johnson prove to be playmakers if and when they get a chance. While the Jayhawks lost some star power, this is still a team with a very deep, very talented roster that will compete for a Big XII title, maybe even a Final Four, depending on how some of their bench guys from last season develop.

  3. Baylor: Scott Drew's club is losing both Ekpe Udoh and Tweety Carter, their best interior player and starting point guard from a year ago. Coming back, however, is LaceDarius Dunn, a Big XII player of the year candidate that was second in the league is scoring as a junior. The Bears will also once again have a very big, very athletic front line headlined by freshman phenom Perry Jones. Jones is a kid with a ton of potential -- size, mobility, perimeter skills -- but he lacks some aggressiveness and assertiveness. His partner up front is 6'7" junior Quincy Acy, an athletic freak that quite possibly could be the hardest dunker in the country. Rounding out the Bears front line is Anthony Jones, a 6'10" lefty with three point range, Cody Jefferson, a highly regarded recruit that didn't get many minutes as a freshman, and 6'8" junior Fred Ellis. The issue for Baylor is going to be their back court, specifically at the point. AJ Walton had a promising start to his freshman season, starting the first four games for Baylor with Carter out. Walton, who proved to be a solid defender as well, will need to be able to fill the void left by Carter. Nolan Dennis, another highly regarded sophomore that saw limited minutes, will be counted on for increased production as well. whie freshman point guard Stargell Love will see time. Baylor has a star in Dunn and size and athleticism up front. Depending on how guys like Jones, Acy, Dennis, and (especially) Walton develop, Baylor could very well finish in the top three or four in the league.

  4. Missouri: You know what you are going to get with Mizzou. They are going to pressure you defensively, using their 40 minutes of hell defense. While the Tigers lose a couple of key role players -- JT Tiller, Zaire "Mr. Big Shot" Taylor, Keith Ramsey -- there is still quite a bit of talent on this roster. It starts in the back court, where leading scorer Kim English and offensive sparkplug Marcus Denmon both return. Promising point guard Michael Dixon also returns, and with the addition of Ricky Kreklow and Phil (freshman) and Matt (JuCo transfer) Pressey, the sons of Paul Pressey, Mike Anderson will be able to go six deep on the perimeter. On the front line, Laurence Bowers and Justin Safford are both versatile 6'8" forwards that are athletic, can defend, and have three point range. Junior Steve Moore, sophomore John Underwood, and freshman Kadeem Green will also see time up front. Perhaps the biggest knock suffered by Mizzou this offseason was the investigation into Tony Mitchell. Mitchell is the kind of versatile, athletic forward that thrives in Mizzou's system. Even without him, this is a tournament team that, possibly a top four team in the league.

  5. Texas: The Longhorns were quite the disappointment last season. A preseason national title favorite that climbed to No. 1 in the country, the 'Horns stumbled down the stretch, eventually being ousted in the first round by Wake Forest. While the Longhorns lose a ton of talent -- Damion James, Avery Bradley, Dexter Pittman, Justin Mason -- this roster was as equipped as any to handle it. In the back court, J'Covan Brown, Jordan Hamilton, and Jai Lucas are back, while Dogus Balbay should be back to full strength after suffering a season ending injury last season. The best Longhorn guard may just end up being Cory Joseph, a top ten recruit out of Canada that could very well be the starter at the point from day one. Don't be surprised is Jordan Hamilton becomes a dangerous player for Rick Barnes. He's a gunner, but if he can learn some shot selection, the kid can really put up points in a hurry. The front court is a bit thinner than it was last year, with Gary Johnson, Alexis Wangmene, and seldom-used Shawne Williams all back. Like the guards, the best big man of the group will likely end up being Tristan Thompson, Joseph's high school teammate at Findlay Prep and fellow Canadian. I don't think the Longhorns can win a Big XII title this season, but a top four finish and possibly a Sweet 16 run are not out of the question.

  6. Texas A&M: It was a rough year to be an Aggie, between Derrick Roland's leg, Tobi Oyedeji's unfortunate passing, and the loss of Brian Davis and Donald Sloan. The cupboard is far from bare, however. BJ Holmes and Dash Harris both looked like they could develop into good players in the Big XII, especially with the amount of minutes opening up in the Aggie back court. Expect sophomore Naji Hibbert to see an increased role on the perimeter as well. Up front, A&M has a fairly solid rotation. David Loubeau may be primed for a break out season, as he looked very impressive last season, and with Khris Middleton, Ray Turner, and Nathan Walkup returning and three freshman coming into the program at 6'8" or taller, the Aggies once again look like they are going to be a physical defensive team. Mark Turgeon's clubs have never been flashy. They grind you out and win games through execution and defense. This team is loaded with offensive firepower, but if a couple of guys develop and this group continues to play the way Turgeon wants them to, this group should be, at the least, in the bubble conversation come February.

  7. Colorado: The Buffaloes, perennially a Big XII doormat, finished eighth in the league last year and stand to make another jump this season. Colorado, who lost head coach Jeff Bzdelik to Wake Forest in the spring, return essentially their entire starting line-up, including Alec Burks and Cory Higgins. Burks and Higgins are two of the most underrated players in the country, mainly because they play for a Colorado team that rarely gets national exposure. They play different styles -- Burks is more of a slasher and a small forward, while Higgins is one of those crafty scoring guards with "old-man" game -- but combined, they averaged over 35 ppg. Burks was also the team's leading rebounder. Also returning is Marcus Relphorde, a forward who transferred in from Indian Hill CC, that is a solid defender and led the team in threes. Beyond that, Colorado doesn't have a ton of talent on their roster. Nate Tomlinson is a decent point guard, there are a couple of capable bigs, and new head coach Tad Boyle will have two freshman at his disposal. This team will ride their big two, but if the Buffs can get a bench and a couple of other role players stepping up alongside Relphorde, there is a decent shot this team makes a run at the tournament.

  8. Oklahoma State: The Cowboys lost their two leading scorers in James Anderson and Obi Muonelo, but the rest of the roster is returning for Travis Ford. And while the 35 ppg that those two provided is a lot to replace, there are some pieces on this roster. Keiton Page and Ray Penn are both undersized in the back court, but make no mistake that both are talented kids. Nick Sidorakis and Fred Gulley should both see expanded roles in the back court as well, with freshman Markel Brown also getting some valuable minutes. A big issue the Cowboys are going to face losing Muonelo is that he was a good enough rebounder at 6'4" that he was able to play the four. It will be interesting to see how Ford handles that change. Don't be surprised if Marshall Moses and Matt Pilgrim start to play more together, but there are still going to be quite a few minutes to be earned. Last year's crop of newcomers -- Roger Franklin, Torin Walker, Jarrid Shaw -- had quite first years, with Franklin the only one cracking the rotation. This year, four newbies -- freshmen Michael Cobbins (a top 50 recruit and Ford's best newcomer) and Brian Williams, Juco transfers Darrell Williams and JP Olukemi -- will have a good chance at earning playing time. The Cowboys will be a borderline tournament team this season, but the future looks good in Stillwater.

  9. Texas Tech: The Red Raiders got off to a hot start last season, but thanks to a late losing streak fell (way) out of contention for an NCAA bid. The good news is that Tech brings back seven of their top nine, including leading scorers forward Mike Singletary and point guard Jon Roberson. Singletary and Roberson form one of the better 1-2 punches in the league. Tech is much more than just those two, however. David Tairu is a tough kid that should start alongside Roberson in the back court. Brad Reese, D'walyn Roberts, Theron Jenkins, and Robert Lewandowski form a solid quartet of front court players. I like the make up of this roster -- a lot of experience (nine upperclassmen, seven seniors), a lot of tough kids, two go-to players. The question will be whether Pat Knight can make it all come together on the defensive end of the floor.

  10. Nebraska: Like Colorado, the Cornhuskers will be playing their final season in the Big XII. But unlike the Buffaloes, Nebraska doesn't look like they will make much noise in the league on their way out the door. If the Huskers are anything, they are big. With Brian Diaz returning and Christopher Niemann (hopefully) getting healthy after back-to-back acl tears, Nebraska will be able to boast two seven foot centers. Also expect a big season out of 6'8" forward Christian Standhardinger, who averaged 8.1 ppg and 4.8 rpg in a super productive 15 mpg after missing the first 15 games of the year with eligibility issues. Brandon Richardson, Eshaunte Jones, and Lance Jeter give the Huskers an adequate back court, but there is simply not enough talent on this roster to give Nebraska a shot at competing in the league.

  11. Oklahoma: Jeff Capel is facing quite the rebuilding process in Norman. Many expected the Sooners to be a top 25 team last season, but injuries and attitude problems kept Oklahoma near the bottom of the league. And now, with their top four scorers gone, Capel will be playing this season with, essentially, one returning upperclassmen -- senior shooting guard Cade Davis. The cupboard isn't completely bare. Steven Pledger and Andrew Fitzgerald both showed flashes of promise as freshmen. Capel also brings in seven newcomers, headlined by top 50 small forward Cameron Clark. The biggest issue Capel is going to face this season is a lack of size inside, as there are really only three post players on the entire roster. It will be a while before the Sooners are competing for the Big XII title in hoops again.

  12. Iowa State: Fred Hoiberg is going to have a long season in his first year back at Iowa State. His two best players -- Craig Brackins and Marqus Gilstrap -- are both pursuing professional careers. Lucca Staiger left the team midseason for to return to Germany. Charles Boozer was kicked out. Their home court was flooded. Its so bad in Ames that Greg McDermott left to return to the MVC and Creighton, which may actually be the better job. Senior Diante Garrett is a bright spot for the Cyclones, and he may be the only one. I can honestly say that Iowa State could go winless in the Big XII, and I wouldn't be that surprised.


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There Is Nothing Like a Good Off-Season Hoops Story: Taylor King

The news-ticker in the college hoops world works 24/7 nine months out of the year. During the off-season, when the ticker moves just a bit slower, stories that would usually get pushed to the back-burner get over-examined. Even if the stories are from well beyond left field, every writer, analyst and blogger in the country is talking about it, because, well, there isn't much else to talk about.

While most of the discussion and debate this off-season has been surrounding conference expansion and anything involving possible NCAA violations, there have been a handful of wildly-entertaining news stories to over-examine and debate to keep us occupied until Marathon Madness.

Troy Machir, BIAH's resident brainiac on the ridiculous and the unnecessary will be providing you with a breakdown of the most outlandish news stories of the off-season.


When Taylor King decided to transfer from Duke to Villanova, I was certain that the Wildcats would be the consensus #1 team in the Big East and a lock to go back to the Final Four. 'Nova had one of the best leaders in the country (Scottie Reynolds), and stellar recruiting class (Maalik Wayns, Mouphataou Yarou, Dominic Cheek, Isiah Armwood) and a excellent core (Antonio Pena, Reggie Redding, Corey Fisher). They would be adding one of the top transfers in the country in King. How could they not be a lock for the National Championship?

After sitting out a year, King had a hot start to his 'Nova campaign.
Through nine games, King was averaging 13ppg and 7rpg. He had 20 points and clutch three-pointer in a wild finish against St. Joe's at the Palestra.

But as the calender switched from 2009 to 2010, King's game went silent. He shot just 25% over the final 11 regular-season games he played. He looked tentative and sluggish, a little lost. He did not play in the regular-season finale against West Virginia for reasons that would never be made public by coach Jay Wright. This, coupled with the ongoing "baby mama drama" between Scottie Reynolds and Corey Fisher spelled doom for the once-dangerous Wildcat team.

After 'Nova struggled in the tournament, narrowly escaping a first round defeat to Robert Morris and getting bounced in the second round by St. Mary's, King announced he would quit basketball and focus on his studies at Villanova.

It's not too often you star players quit hoops to focus on college. Rumors circulated that the reason King was suspended was because he refused to take a drug test, the same reason he left Duke. Apparently King was a big fan of the ganja, and he refused to put it aside to focus on becoming a dominant D-I basketball player.

Listen, it's college. I understand If a guy wants to quit basketball to focus on "extracurriculars", he has the right to do so. after all, you're only in college once. The reason Taylor King is being highlighted is because after quitting the team, news spread that King would be leaving Villanova all together. King, a top-five scoring leader in California high school history will be transferring to Southern California, a school already chalk full of bad publicity.

King has long refused to elaborate on the reasons for leaving Duke and being suspended from the 'Nova squad. When He decided to quit basketball, it was because he needed to focus on academics right?

Then why does it appear that King is going to be a member of the Trojans basketball squad?

Most guys only get one chance to shine on the collegiate hardwood. King has had two great opportunities to do so, and now he is seeking a third. By the time he uses up his eligibility (2013) he should be on course to get some sort of graduate degree.

But did I mention that he is planning on joining USC's heralded Film department? Yea my thoughts exactly: A pothead film major in Southern California?

I think Van Wilder has a better chance of getting a graduate degree before King does.

Listen, I hate Villanova, but I was drooling over the notion of seeing Mouph Yarou, Antonio Pena, Taylor King, Corey Fisher and Sottie Reynolds share the floor together.

I don't wish any ill will towards King, but it grinds my gears that some guys get chance after chance after chance to prove themselves at an elite level when their pasts indicate that maybe hoops isn't the right career path for them.
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Wednesday Morning Dump

- !!!OFF-SEASON DANA O'NEIL!!! Seriously people, nobody writes a better feature piece than Mrs. O'Neil. This time she details the changes that will be made at Seton Hall under new head coach Kevin Willard

- Trevor Mbakwe finally returned to Minnesota. For the first time since he was accused of assault, Trevor Mbakwe was able to practice with his Golden Gopher teammates.

- Gary Parrish has a must-read on Sonny Vaccaro's return to the recruiting game. Vaccaro has been out of the game for three summers, but according to Parrish, is going to be doing "something big" in the near future. If for some reason you still don't think college hoops is a business, please, read this article.

- Rush The Court breaks down the off-season happenings in the Pac-10 as well as what to expect from the conference that was the BCS-laughingstock last season.

- The Big East overruled the coaches votes, and will continue to have a 16-team conference tournament. It was only a few months ago that it was believed that this idea was going to be done away with. After all, in the Big East's first 16-team conference tournament, DePaul, who had lost every conference game during the season, beat Cincinnati in the first round. But last year, Three of the four teams that received double-byes lost in their first tournament game. Apparently that was not enough to dissuade the Big East from changing the format.

- Five story lines to watch for in the ACC. I feel like "can Va.Tech avoid being on the bubble?" is a storyline every season

- Why isn't Enes Kanter eligible yet? That;s what people in BBN are hard-pressed to find out

- A great-read from Rush The Court (btw, they have been killin' it recently) on why there might not be a true advantage in fouling when a team up three late in a game. The Harvard Sports Analysis Collective composed a study to determine if statistics conferred that it was beneficial for a team in the lead to foul in the closing moments of a game.

- Both Rivals.com and Scouts.com updated their list of top 100 recruits of 2011. Testudo Times had a good piece on some of the notable changes. Mike Miller from Beyond The Arc does the same

- Hawaii could be the next team out the WAC door. The conference seems to be all but dead.

- Mississippi State hires assistant coach George Brooks. Brooks played at MSU from 1992-1994 and most recently was the head coach at Meridian Community College in Mississippi.

- New Cornell coach Bill Courtney won't change the Cornell recruiting philosophy, adamant believer in "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" methodology

- You can't make this stuff up: September 15th will be "Mike Krzyzewski Day"

- Florida got their first commitment for the class of 2012. 6-foot-4 shooting guard Michael Frazier picked the gators over a handful of other SEC schools such as Georgia, Alabama and Arkansas. Now we just have to wait and see if Frazier backs out in the next two years.

- Former Kentucky star Derrick Millar was sentenced to two years in jail and 5 years of probation for his role in a ticket scam

- Jeff Goodman details Josh Pastner's experience at the Florida Coaches Clinic

- Xavier point guard Terrell Holloway has decided to change his name

- What the heck is the "Ewing Theory" and how the heck does it apply to Villanova?
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Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Pierre Henderson-Niles is heading east, far east

Pierre Henderson-Niles, the mammoth Memphis center who was kicked off the team last season, has reportedly signed a contract to play hoops in Japan. Now, we understand that this isn't the most pertinent information, but PHN has always been a fan-favorite here at B.I.A.H.


If you are puzzled as to why a professional team would want hire a player who never averaged more than 5ppg, no need to worry, because we will explain.

Henderson-Niles, is roughly 6-foot-8 and roughly 300lbs. If you are unaware with the Japanese culture then you should know the Japanese people are fascinated with human goliaths. Guys like Bob Sapp and Hong Man Choi are six-figure fighters and can headline events in sold-out arenas just because of their size.

After all, this is the land where sumo wrestling was born. The land of Godzilla. If you want something big, forget about Texas, go to Japan. I think that whoever signed Henderson-Niles made a brilliant marketing decision. Don't try and convince me that PHN was signed solely on his basketball skills.

I've seen Pierre in person, in fact I've stood less than 10 yards away from him, and I can say, without a shadow of a doubt, that he is the largest human being I have ever seen.

I think this might actually be a great move for PHN. He will be an instant celebrity as soon as he arrives. Who knows, in a year or two, he could be making cameos in popular action movies or maybe starring in his own energy drink commercial.

Because in Japan, size sells.

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Joseph Young enrolls at Houston

We've wasted a lot of words over the past few months on the plight of Joseph Young. Young, if you remember, is the former Providence signee that changed his mind in regards to his desire to attend Providence. After appealing both the NCAA and Providence to be released from his LOI -- losing both -- Young has made the decision that most of us expected.

Young will be attending Houston, opting to sit out a season and lose a year of eligibility all while developing his individual game.

Now, I could go on another rant and throw a tantrum and scream and yell about how unfair the LOI program is or how juvenile Keno Davis is acting. But I've done that, and no matter how much of a hullabaloo I attempt to raise, the fact of the matter is that Young will be wasting a year in order to go to the school he truly wants to attend.

And as much as I disagree with the course of action that Davis and the Providence athletics department took, looking back, this probably could have played out much differently.

The initial stance that the Youngs took was that Joseph wanted to play closer to his Houston home because he had an aunt that was ill. Most people watching from afar, including Davis, believed that Young wanted to play at Houston because his father was rehired by new head coach James Dickey. That, and the fact that the Providence program was going through some serious upheaval.

If Young had come out and said that he wanted out of Providence because of a desire to play at Houston, where his father was Director of Basketball Operations, Davis may have granted him his release. If you remember, took over his father's program at Drake. Honesty is the best policy, and there's no doubt that Davis suspected the Youngs weren't being truthful.

The Youngs, despite what Davis (and many others) believe were false pretenses, still may have had a chance at getting the release before Michael, Joseph's father, decided to spout off to the media. So now, if you're Keno Davis, you have been lied to and publicly insulted by the Youngs.

If you were in his shoes, would you then do them a favor and grant Joseph's release?

I don't condone what Davis did. Far from it, in fact. If Young wanted to play for his father, he should have been granted a release. If he wanted to go to school close enough to his ailing aunt, he should have been allowed to without penalty. Hell, if he didn't like the direction the Providence program was headed, Davis should have cut his ties.

In my mind, what Davis did was inexcusable, made him look childish, and very likely could hurt his ability to recruit in the future.

Davis, and Providence, made the wrong decision.

But the way the Youngs handled the situation on their end created a situation where the "wrong decision" was that much easier to make.

The sad part in all of this?

Everyone is coming out a loser.
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The Only Conference Preview You Need To Read: The ACC

Summer officially ends on September 22nd, but for me, the end of summer always coincided with the end of August. Or when I had to go to school. (That first day was always the worst, wasn't it?) Anyway, school is right around the corner, which means that college basketball season is around the corner, down the street, through two lights, and on the left. Since we've all had a fight with our GPS at one time or another, we at BIAH will take this week to roll out our way-too-early, all-encompassing conference previews.

To browse through the other conferences, click here.



Pre-season Awards

Player of the Year: Malcolm Delaney, Virginia Tech

This may be an unpopular pick with the folks down in Durham, but let me explain. Duke legitimately has two, maybe even three (depending on how good Kyrie Irving ends up being), players that will contend for conference player of the year. That's why they are going to be the best team in the league. Kyle Singler can afford to have an off-night, because Nolan Smith and Irving, and even a Seth Curry or a Plumlee, are talented enough to carry the Dukies, at least for stretches. No disrespect to Dorenzo Hudson or Jeff Allen -- both are very good players -- but they are a notch below the second and third options that the Blue Devils have. I think Delaney has the kind of senior season that Greivis Vasquez had last year; one where he puts up very impressive numbers and leads his team to their best season in recent memory. (Duke also had two, maybe three, viable player of the year candidates last year as well.) Keep in mind, Delaney has been on the wrong side of the bubble in each of his three seasons in Blacksburg. You don't think he is determined to win something this year?


And a close second goes to: Kyle Singler, Duke

Runner-up came down to Singler and Nolan Smith, but with the amount of talent that Duke has in their back court this year, Smith may not have the opportunites that Singler does. Hell, Smith could very well be a second-fiddle in the back court to Irving by season's end. I see Smith playing a complimentary role -- albeit very well, but still as a second or third option -- this season. Before last season, I called Singler the best complimentary player in the country. Last season changed my opinion of him. He played fantastic basketball down the stretch, capped by an outstanding tournament, a better title game, and a Final Four MOP award. This is Singler's team.

Breakout Star: Tyler Zeller, UNC

Zeller has had a rough first two seasons with the Tar Heels. As a freshman, he broke his wrist in the second game of the season before returning late in the year for front court depth and a shot to participate in a national championship. As a sophomore, Zeller missed 10 games with a stress fracture in his foot before returning for an essentially meaningless stretch run. And for the majority of his time in Chapel Hill, he has played second fiddle to the likes of Tyler Hansbrough, Ed Davis, and Deon Thompson. Zeller is a talented player in the post, with a solid back-to-the-basket game and a nice touch of his jumper. Playing on a team where he is the only real offensive threat in the post with a talented back court, Zeller should have plenty of opportunities to get post touches and will be needed to rebound the ball effectively. He averaged 9.3 ppg and 4.6 rpg playing just over 17 minutes as second fiddle last year. What happens this season when he is the a go-to guy in the post and gets 34 minutes?

All-Conference First Team:

  • POY - Malcolm Delaney, Virginia Tech, Sr.
  • G - Nolan Smith, Duke, Sr.
  • G/F - Harrison Barnes, UNC, Fr.
  • F - Chris Singleton, Florida State, Jr.
  • F - Kyle Singler, Duke, Sr.
  • F - Tracy Smith, NC State, Sr.
All-Conference Second Team:
  • G - Kyrie Irving, Duke, Fr.
  • G - Durand Scott, Miami, So.
  • F - Joe Trapani, Boston College, Sr.
  • F - Tyler Zeller, UNC, Jr.
  • F - Jordan Williams, Maryland, So.
Freshman of the Year: Harrison Barnes, UNC

Barnes has a very real shot at being the first pick in the 2011 NBA Draft should he decide to come out. A 6'8" small forward, Barnes is an incredibly smooth player. He doesn't have the length or freakish tools of a Kevin Durant, but plays a similar style to Durant. He's always under control, thrives in the mid-range, and is an excellent all-around shooter. Barnes is a smart kid that understands how to play the game and has sneaky athleticism. Barnes will likely be the focal point of the Tar Heel attack from day one, and some believe he has a shot at being a first-team all-american.


All-Freshman Team:
  • G - Kyrie Irving, Duke
  • G - Kendall Marshall, UNC
  • G - Reggie Bullock, UNC
  • G - JT Terrell, Wake Forest
  • F - CJ Leslie, NC State
What Happened?:
  • Coaching Changes: It was a relatively quiet off-season in the ACC, unless you were a head coach. Boston College got rid of Al Skinner, parting ways before the man who headed the Eagles for 13 years interviewed at St. John's. BC brought in Cornell head coach Steve Donahue, who built the Big Red from an Ivy cellar dweller to a Sweet 16 team.

    Next up was Oliver Purnell, who simply up and left Clemson for DePaul. A week later, the Tigers signed Brad Brownell away from Wright State.

    Perhaps the most surprising coaching change belongs to Wake Forest, who fired head coach Dino Gaudio despite making a second straight tournament after another disappointing finish to a season. The Demon Deacons hired Colorado head coach Jeff Bzdelik, who pulled of one of the more impressive recruiting feats I can remember. Bzdelik kept the Wake Forest assistant coaches on staff, and was able to convince all five members of Gaudio's impressive recruiting class to stay and give him a chance.

  • Allan Chaney passes out: Chaney, who transferred to Virginia Tech from Florida and was scheduled to be eligible this fall, gave everyone a scare this summer. He fainted during a workout and had to be revived when a trainer gave him CPR. It was ruled dehydration, but after collapsing again later in the summer, it was determined Chaney needed more tests. He was found to have a viral inflammation of the heart, and it is not yet known if he will be able to play for the Hokies this season, although it doesn't look good.

    More bad news was sent the Hokies way when they found out that JT Thompson would miss the season after tearing his acl.

  • Speaking of the Hokies: Seth Greenberg always seems to be on the wrong side of the bubble. In fact, each of the last three seasons, Virginia Tech has been left out of the NCAA Tournament. Would it surprise you that he wanted tournament expansion, or that he didn't like the format of the "First Four"? Regardless, Greenberg has decided to play a tougher schedule in hopes that he avoids being left out again this season.

  • Bernard James: Is it possible that the most interesting person in college basketball is on Florida State? Read this, then answer that question.
What's Next?
  • Why does no one want ACC schools?: Throughout everything that went on this summer with conference expansion, the ACC was really the only league that stayed out of the rumor mill. Sure, there was speculation that Maryland could be headed to the Big Ten, but that was it.

  • Another national title?: The ACC has accounted for five of the last ten national titles. Many believe that Duke is far and away the best team in the country this season. Can they repeat?


Power Rankings:
  1. Duke: The reigning national champs, Duke is easily the favorite to win it all. A major reason for that is the talent that the Blue Devils got back. Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler, both of whom are going to populate a number of preseason all-america lists, both decided against going pro to return to school and try and win a second straight national title. Smith will be the anchor for what should be one of the better back courts in the country. Joining Smith in the starting line-up will likely be Kyrie Irving, who most believe is one of the top five recruits in the country. Irving, a pure point guard that plays well beyond his years, will be a perfect complement to Smith in the back court. Seth Curry -- Steph's little brother who averaged 20+ ppg at Liberty as a freshman that will be eligible this season -- Andre Dawkins, and freshman Tyler Thornton fill out the back court for Coach K. With more of a guard-oriented line-up this season, Singler will go back to splitting time at the three and the four. Brian Zoubek is gone, which means Duke is going to need one of their bigs -- whether it is Mason Plumlee (who is the most talented of the group), Miles Plumlee, Ryan Kelly, or freshman Josh Hairston -- to develop a mean streak defensively and on the glass. That said, this is still a team that is as deep as it is talented. Don't be surprised if they win both ACC titles and a national title.

  2. Virginia Tech: The Hokies may just be the second best team in the ACC this season. While they missed the NCAA Tournament last year, this was still a 25-win club that went 10-6 in the ACC, and they return everyone from last season. Malcolm Delaney, who could very well be the ACC player of the year this season, returns, as does Jeff Allen and Dorenzo Hudson, giving the Hokies as good of a 1-2-3 punch as there is outside of Duke. Victor Davila and Allan Chaney (assuming he can get cleared) will provide muscle inside, which will be all the more important with JT Thompson sidelined for the season. Terrell Bell and freshman Jarell Eddie give the Hokies athleticism and defensive toughness on the perimeter. Erick Green proved to be an adequate back-up at the point in limited minutes as a freshman. Its tough to think anyone can take the ACC from Duke this season, but Tech has as good of a chance as any team at finishing second in the conference.

  3. North Carolina: Its going to be interesting to see where North Carolina gets placed by writers in the preseason. The Heels were arguably the most disappointing team in the country last season and lost quite a bit (Ed Davis, Deon Thompson, the Wear twins, Marcus Ginyard) from that club. But this is also a team that has had two very good recruiting classes back-to-back, which means that there are quite a few question marks. Up front, the biggest question mark is depth. There are really only three bigs on the roster. Tyler Zeller is back for his junior season. When he is healthy, he is a very good post player on both ends, but he has battled suffered major injuries each of his first two seasons. John Henson was a top 10 recruit in 2009, but until he puts on weight he won't be overly effective in the ACC. Justin Knox, an Alabama transfer, will be eligible immediately. His size will be nice, but he averaged 6.3 ppg and 3.7 rpg as a junior. On the perimeter, the question marks will be positional battles. Larry Drew is the veteran point guard. Leslie McDonald and Dexter Strickland were hyped as freshmen, but had disappointing first seasons. Kendall Marshall and Reggie Bullock are this year's talented freshman, and while Bullock could very well end up starting for this team, the guy to watch will be Marshall. Drew wasn't the answer last season at the point, and Marshall was a highly regarded recruit. It seems the only certainty anyone has with this team is that Harrison Barnes will be the real deal. UNC should be improved next year, and while I believe Duke and Virginia Tech are still the better teams right now, this group should be in the mix for the second spot in the ACC.

  4. NC State: It seems that Wolfpack fans that have been patient with Sidney Lowe's tenure will finally be rewarded this year, as NC State looks to have a team that can make a run at a tournament bid. Its starts up front, where the Pack got some great news when Tracy Smith, who led the team in scoring and rebounding as a junior, withdrew from the NBA Draft and decided to return for his senior season. The news got better when Lowe scored an upset, landing 6'8" Raliegh native CJ Leslie, a top 20 recruit. With Richard Howell and 7'0" sophomore Jordan Vandenburg also returning, the Wolfpack have a very good front line. Lowe will also have a nice combination of experience and young talent in his back court. Javier Gonzalez, who started at the point last season, will be back for his senior season. 6'7" shooter Scott Wood also returns, as does CJ Williams, a 6'6" swingman who started 16 games as a sophomore. Freshmen guards Lorenzo Brown and Ryan Harrow will provide depth, and quite possibly compete for a starting spot. This is the most talented, and probably the deepest, team Lowe has had at NC State. It will be a disappointment if he cannot lead this group to the NCAA Tournament.

  5. Florida State: The Seminoles lost both of their starting front court players -- Solomon Alabi and Ryan Reid -- but should still have enough size up front. 6'11" junior Xavier Gibson returns who, along with Terrence Shannon, who only played in 18 games, is the only rotational big man back from last season. But Hamilton brings in plenty on the front line. Okaro White is a 6'8", top 100 forward. Jon Kreft, who initially signed with Florida State is 2006 but has had his share of troubles getting into the school, is a seven-footer and former five-star recruit that will finally be eligible this year. Bernard James is a 6'10" JuCo all-american that spent six years abroad in the Air Force. Florida State's biggest issue last season was their ability on the offensive end; simply put, they couldn't score. With the exception of incoming freshman Ian Miller, a four star point guard out of Charlotte, this is the same group. The two best players on the perimeter are Chris Singleton and Michael Snaer. Both are tremendous athletes -- Snaer playing the two, Singleton at the three -- with a ton of upside, but offensively they are limited. One of those two is going to need to develop into a legitimate threat with the ball. Derwin Kitchen might be the best creator for Leonard Hamilton's club, but he turns 25 during the season. He won't be getting all that much better. Rounding out the perimeter will be juniors Luke Loucks and Deividas Dulkys. Florida State is going to be a big, physical, experienced club, and if a couple of their better players can improve their scoring ability, this is a team that could once again win 20 games, finish above .500 in the conference, and make the NCAA Tournament.

  6. Clemson: With Oliver Purnell now at DePaul and Trevor Booker getting paychecks from the Wizards, its pretty obvious that Clemson is going to be a much different team next season. Where Clemson was a team known for their full-court press under Purnell, it will be interesting to see how new coach Brad Brownell runs this team. At Wright State, he was known for his team's staunch, halfcourt defense and offensive execution. Brownell walks into a pretty good situation with Clemson. With Demontez Stitt, Andre Young, and Tanner Smith, Brownell has an experienced and tough back court returning. Throw sophomore Noel Johnson, who is only going to get better, into the mix, and the Tigers will have a very perimeter. The key to the Clemson season is going to be how their front line develops. Jerai Grant is a known commodity, an athletic, 6'8" senior that is going to get some dunks, some rebounds, a couple of blocks. Milton Jennings and Devin Booker, however, were both highly regarded recruits as freshmen that had so-so first seasons. Part of it was that the two only played limited minutes with Grant and Trevor Booker, but if these two can begin to live up to their potential, this Clemson team could end up being a tournament team.

  7. Maryland: Its could be a tough year for the Terps, coming off of their share of the ACC regular season title. They lose Greivis Vasquez, Eric Hayes, and Landon Milbourne to graduation, which essentially means that the Terps will lose their three best players. All hope is not lost, however. Junior wing Sean Mosley has been quite impressive playing a role in his first two seasons in College Park. Center Jordan Williams, if he can cut some weight and get a bit quicker and more athletic, could develop into one of the better bigs in the ACC. Guard Adrian Bowie, swingman Cliff Tucker, and bigs Dino Gregory and James Padgett have all shown signs of being capable ACC players. If Mosley can develop into a 15 ppg player, Williams continues to improve as a post, and the six Maryland newcomers -- particularly the two point guards, Pe'Shon Howard and Terrell Stoglin -- are ready to compete at the ACC level, Maryland has a shot at getting a bid to the tournament.

  8. Boston College: It was quite a tumultuous off-season for the Eagles. It started with Al Skinner getting fired, and continued with Rakim Sanders transferring to Fairfield, Brady Heslip transferring to Baylor, and with Kevin Noreen backing out of his commitment to the school. The cupboard isn't bare for new head coach Steve Donahue, however. Joe Trapani has developed into one of the better combo-forwards in the ACC, averaging over 14 points 6 boards as a junior. Junior Reggie Jackson is developing into one of the better all-around guards in the ACC, and Corey Raji is a tough, 6'6" senior forward that really gets after it defensively and on the glass. Biko Paris and Dallas Elmore will also see time on the perimeter, but that is not where BC will struggle. There is not much size on this Eagle roster. Josh Southern, who started 25 games last season, is a 6'10" center and Courtney Dunn, who saw action in just 26 games, are really the only post players this team has. This is an experienced group with some talent at the top, but they are not all that deep and will be learning the system of a new coach. An NCAA tournament bid would be a bit of a surprise.

  9. Miami: Miami won 20 games last season, but that number is a bit skewed when you consider 14 of those wins came in non-conference play. With Dwayne Collins and James Dews, their two leading scorers, graduating, its tough to see the 'Canes improving all that much. If they do, it is going to rest on the shoulders of their back court. Durand Scott, who had a solid freshman campaign, and Villanova transfer Malcolm Grant are both very good back court players. 6'6" small forward DeQuan Jones is one of the best athletes in the conference. Adrian Thomas, at 6'7", is a tough, experienced kid that can score and knock down a jumper. Reggie Johnson is a capable center. But when you finish dead last in a power conference, lose your top two scorers, and bring in a recruiting class that doesn't feature a program changer, its tough to expect too much.

  10. Wake Forest: The Demon Deacons will have as much turnover as anyone in the conference. They lose four of their top six scorers, including Al-Farouq Aminu and Ishmael Smith. Head coach Dino Gaudio was fired, replaced by Jeff Bzdelik. To top it off, center Tony Woods was booted from the team after a domestic violence incident. But that doesn't mean that all is lost for Wake this season. Sophomore guards CJ Harris and Ari Stewart both had promising freshman seasons, and have the potential for a breakout sophomore year. Junior big man Ty Walker was a highly touted freshmen that will finally have an opportunity to play extended minutes. Georgetown transfer Nikita Mescheriakov will be eligible to play, joining a very good five-man recruiting class, which includes four four-star recruits. This team is young, and they are inexperienced, but Wake has some talent and potential. I think Wake is a bit of a sleeper this season, but they are a young squad and probably a year away from making the tournament.

  11. Georgia Tech: Paul Hewitt's club is going to have a much different feel to it this season as Derrick Favors, Gani Lawal, and Zach Peacock are all gone. This year's team is going to center around the Yellow Jacket backcourt. Headlining that group is Iman Shumpert, a 6'4" combo guard that has shown flashes of greatness in his two seasons with the Rambling Wreck. But he's also been inconsistent, something that will need to change as he will be counted on to shoulder a much bigger offensive load. Moe Miller, who has seen his numbers drop in each of his three seasons, will be back for his senior year. Hewitt will need Miller to return to the form of his freshman season, when he averaged 8.1 ppg and 3.3 apg. Rounding out the perimeter will be sophomores Mfon Udofia, Brian Oliver, and Glen Rice Jr. as well as freshman Jason Morris, a four-star recruit. Somewhere out of that group, a secondary scorer is going to need to develop. Up front, Tech will be very young, as there are going to essentially be three freshmen -- two redshirt (Kammeon Hosley and Daniel Miller) and one true frosh (Nate Hicks, a former Tulane signee) -- that make up the rotation. It looks like another rebuilding year for Hewitt.

  12. Virginia: The Cavaliers will be an interesting team to keep an eye on this season. After going 5-2 to start ACC play, the Cavs proceeded to lose their last nine games in conference. They also will be without Sylvan Landesberg, their leading scorer who was kicked off the team late in the season. But could it be possible that this club will be better without Landesberg? After he was kicked off the team, Virginia went 1-3. But all three of those losses came to the two conference co-champions. They return Mike Scott, Mustapha Farrakhan, and Will Sherrill and add talented freshman KT Harrell. Sammy Zeglinski had surgery on his knee and his return this season is questionable. Bennett will also bring in his first real recruiting class, which is six players deep. Bennett's roster is not overloaded with talent, but neither were his teams at Washington State. Can Bennett mold this team into one that can compete in the ACC? While I expect another finish near the bottom of the league, I think this could be a team that sneaks up on some people in the ACC.

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